产业结构、碳权市场与技术创新对各省区碳减排效率的影响
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1.西安石油大学油气资源经济与管理研究中心;2.北京工业大学循环经济研究院

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F206

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“我国碳排放强度、影响因素与减排潜力研究”(13BGL111)


Effects of Industrial Structure, Carbon Rights Market and Technological Innovation on Carbon Emission Reduction Efficiency of Various Provinces
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    摘要:

    从驱动因素和制动因素两个方面建立了碳减排效率影响因素框架并进行理论分析,运用面板数据模型构建了影响碳减排效率的制动因素模型,收集我国30个地区2011年至2016年相关数据,选取合理指标,实证分析了产业结构、碳权市场、技术创新对碳减排效率的影响。依照分析结论,进一步测算出各地区能源效率,继而得出不同地区的二氧化碳减排潜力、节能空间以及减排空间。引入碳排放退耦概念,测算我国各地区四个阶段退耦指数并分析退耦程度变化。结果表明:(1)产业结构较大程度影响碳减排效率,第二产业比重的增加会增大碳排放量变动率,降低碳减排效率,而碳权市场的设立以及技术创新能力能够有效提高碳减排效率;(2)我国各地区能源效率存在不均衡问题,仍具有较大的碳减排潜力、节能和减排空间;(3)各地区不同阶段的退耦指数差异较大,但退耦程度逐年加强,同时减排空间逐渐减小,说明经济增长与减排压力之间总体趋于缓和。

    Abstract:

    Establishing the framework of influencing factors of carbon emission reduction efficiency from two aspects of driving factors and inhibiting factors and makes theoretical analysis. The panel data model is used to construct the model of influencing factors of carbon emission reduction efficiency. Collecting relevant data from 30 regions in China from 2011 to 2016 and selecting reasonable indicators,the impact of industrial structure, carbon rights market and technological innovation on carbon emission reduction efficiency have been empirical analysed. According to the analysis conclusion, further calculate the energy efficiency of each region, and then come to different regions carbon dioxide emission reduction potential, energy-saving space and emission reduction space. The concept of carbon emission decoupling is introduced to calculate the decoupling index of four stages in China and analyze the change of decoupling degree. The results show that: (1) The industrial structure greatly affects the efficiency of carbon emission reduction, the increase of the proportion of the secondary industry will increase the rate of change of carbon emissions, reduce the efficiency of carbon emission reduction, and the establishment of carbon rights market and technological innovation ability can effectively improve the efficiency of carbon emission reduction; (2) China"s regional energy efficiency is not balanced .There is still great potential for carbon reduction, energy saving and emission reduction.; (3) The stage decoupling index of different regions is different, but the degree of decoupling is strengthened year by year, and the space of emission reduction is gradually reduced, indicating that the overall trend of economic growth on the pressure of emission reduction eased.

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李志学,李乐颖,陈健.产业结构、碳权市场与技术创新对各省区碳减排效率的影响[J].,2019,(16).

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  • 收稿日期:2018-10-19
  • 最后修改日期:2018-11-11
  • 录用日期:2018-11-23
  • 在线发布日期: 2019-09-16
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