[关键词]
[摘要]
采用中国大陆东部、中西和西部三大经济区2008~2015年的面板数据,运用Johanson面板协整关系检验、Granger因果关系检验与面板数据误差修正模型,实证检验了我国体育用品制造业升级与服务业发展之间的因果关系。研究结果表明:不管是东部经济发达地区,还是中西部经济落后地区,体育用品制造业升级和服务业发展之间的协同互动关系均未建立起来,三大经济区体育用品制造业升级与服务业发展之间仅存在单向的因果关系。在东西部经济区,体育用品制造业升级是服务业发展的长期原因,但在中部经济区,服务业发展则是体育用品制造业升级的长期原因。从整体来看,虽然中国作为一个体育用品制造和出口大国,由于缺乏核心技术,产品全球竞争力较弱,国际话语权仍非常有限,与国内服务业发展相比,三大经济区体育用品制造业发展还处于相对较低的水平。最后,从互补性视角提出我国体育用品制造业与服务业发展的战略举措。
[Key word]
[Abstract]
Using panel data, the eastern and Western Chinese and the three economic zones in 2008~2015, using Johanson panel cointegration test, Granger causality test and error correction model of panel data, empirical test the causal relationship between China"s sporting goods manufacturing industry upgrading and the development of the service industry. The results show that: whether it is the economically developed eastern regions, and western backward areas of economy, interactive relationship between sports goods manufacturing industry upgrade and development of the service industry are not established, there is only one-way causal relationship between the three economic zones of sports goods manufacturing industry upgrading and the development of service industry. In the East and West Economic Zone, the upgrading of sports goods manufacturing industry is the long-term cause of the development of the service industry, but in the Central Economic Zone, the development of service industry is the long-term cause of the upgrading of sports goods manufacturing industry. On the whole, although Chinese as a sporting goods manufacturing and exporting countries, due to the lack of core technology, products of global competitiveness, international discourse is still very limited, compared with the development of domestic service industry, development is still in the relatively low level of three major economic zones of sports goods manufacturing industry.Finally, the strategic measures for the development of sports goods manufacturing industry and service industry in our country is put forward from the perspective of complementarity.
[中图分类号]
[基金项目]