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1.
The aims of this study were to analyse recreational sea kayaking and touring incidents in Norway with a specific focus on wind conditions and to elaborate on practical implications for the prevention of future incidents. We included 49 incidents reported by the media between 2000 and 2014. Incidents occurred in various wind conditions, but most incidents (60%) occurred in moderate to strong breezes (9–14 m/s). Wind strength and direction were generally forecast accurately and conditions were mainly stable throughout the day of the incident. Thus, sea kayaking and touring incidents in Norway seem to happen in various wind conditions; however, paddlers should have been well informed and aware of the hazards they were facing. Future incidents could be prevented by increasing sea kayakers’ situation awareness through discussion of experts’ decision-making processes and the arrangement of situated learning experiences in realistic settings.  相似文献   

2.
ABSTRACT

By 2029, 20% of the U.S. population will be ≥65-years-old. American demographics are changing, understanding of the ≥65-year-old demographic has not. We investigated expectation variables of participants born between 1946 and 1964 in the United States, and identified how expectation trends have changed over time also describing gender differences. We used secondary data from a motivation study published in 2015 to identify the expectations of active older adults. Four years of data were used (n = 71) in a self-selection of four adventure activities (rock climbing, flat-water canoeing, white water kayaking and sea kayaking). Older adults expected experiences in the natural environment, with social factors, and where they were either starting a new activity, or honing acquired skills. They were not focused on danger or the use of personal gear. We recommend programming that caters to an aging population, as well as considerations for gender.  相似文献   

3.
奈特风险是不能由单一概率框架来描述的不确定性风险,经济战略决策、风险投资、金融操纵和管理创新等都与其关系密切,其研究对扩展经济理论适用范围、解决战略决策和风险管理等具有重要意义。目前已知的奈特风险有多逻辑冲突型、第一次没经验或经验不收敛型、平均值无意义或赌不起型等多种。  相似文献   

4.
应用面向对象高级语言C#和SQL Server 2005数据库,采用风险矩阵法、模糊层次分析法、根本原因分析法、综合决策法、逻辑决策法等方法,开发一套基于RCM技术,能够完成港口门座起重机的基础信息管理,以风险为基础,具有良好目标性的维修决策系统,根据用户选择的影响因素来确定其零部件的维修方式和最佳维修周期,以提高机械设备的可靠性和安全性,为企业提供优化、系统、科学的维修决策支持。  相似文献   

5.
突发事件不仅影响民众的生命财产安全和身体健康,还会引发不同程度的心理创伤。突发事件发生期间或之后,可采用心理急救、应激晤谈、情绪稳定化、放松等应急心理干预技术,对相关人群实施及时系统有效的心理干预,降低他们罹患心理疾病和心理危机的概率。在风险治理视域下,把握应急心理干预系统性和协同性的特点,着力构建“三体四面”的突发事件应急心理干预体系。即强调社会治理者在宏观层面构建体系,搭好平台,促进运行;心理专业人员在微观层面实施专业化的心理干预;社会大众既要重视外在的心理疏导,也要加强内在的心理建设,从而实现“由心而治”的社会风险治理新格局。  相似文献   

6.
Performance improvement professionals who occasionally manage projects can benefit from applying the discipline of project management. This article offers a checklist of proven techniques that lend themselves to most projects. Many techniques are applicable even in organizations lacking a project management culture. These techniques do not assume formal project management training. The checklist draws on common elements identified through a review and analysis of key sources that outline the ingredients for project success, such as communication, stakeholder engagement, executive support, and risk management.  相似文献   

7.
当前高校餐饮服务主要面临着食物中毒的风险、引发恐慌性食品安全事件的风险和管理者的责任风险。引发高校餐饮服务食品安全风险有多方面的原因,要防范食品安全风险,就要确保高校餐饮服务的公益性质,建构多元化的监督管理模式,健全内部食品安全管理制度,加强食品安全风险教育,保障校园安全,维护社会稳定。  相似文献   

8.
Adventure expeditions are characterised by their unique temporal and spatial separateness from the quotidian and their exploratory and oft times risky nature. As such they offer a multitude of possibilities in research terms for the inquisitive investigator. Few studies however have considered the researcher’s experience of exploring such settings. Primarily methodological in focus, this paper examines the challenges and management of the adventure-researcher’s multiple roles during a sea kayaking expedition. An expedition observation framework is constructed as a tool to aid the conceptualisation of the field. In a candid and reflexive social commentary, the relative and fluid positioning of the researcher in insider-outsider terms is probed and despite their nuanced differences, the interplay of ethnography and autoethnography in achieving this. The concept of existential authenticity as a complementary theoretical framework is used to illustrate the marginality and liminal nature of the adventure scape and the researcher’s task within it.  相似文献   

9.
突发事件应急管理作为一种特殊的公共管理,已经越来越成为全社会和各级政府亟待加强的重大课题。文章从现代突发事件的特征分析出发,阐述了政府处置突发事件应坚持的原则,并通过构建预控机制、决策机制等提升政府处理突发事件管理的水平,以期减少突发事件带来的各种损失。  相似文献   

10.
论邓小平的风险决策思想   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
由于信息的不完全性、抽象思维的局限性、预测的不准确性、假定的不可靠性和实施者的差异性等不确定性因素的存在 ,决策往往与风险相伴随。邓小平所说的“摸着石头过河”是一种渐进决策的方式。他提出了风险决策的各个主要环节 :制定一切政策 ,要从实际出发 ;制定一个目标十分重要 ;大胆地试 ,大胆地闯 ;每走一步都要总结经验。邓小平认为评判决策有两个标准 ,即检验认识之真理性的实践标准和以人民的利益为出发点和归宿的价值标准  相似文献   

11.
Racial disparities in teacher-issued office discipline referrals are less discussed than the well-documented suspension gaps. Discipline referrals, like suspension, can lead to lost instructional time. Although individuals are sent out of the classroom for a range of reasons, Black students, as a group, are at greater risk of being sent out than White students. In fact, studies have shown that when comparing students with similar characteristics, Black students remain at higher risk of being referred. In this article, we argue there is a need to raise teacher awareness about negative racial beliefs and the conditions under which those beliefs impact decision-making during discipline incidents. We further point out the need to foster teacher awareness about the power of positive beliefs in affecting student outcomes and the malleability of beliefs and disciplinary practices through intervention.  相似文献   

12.
资本运营是出版企业生存发展的机遇和源泉,但在资本运营过程中,也存在政策风险、决策风险、财务风险和经营风险。资本运营是一项系统性工程,要改善资本运营的外部环境,优化企业的资本结构,健全企业内部资本运营的管理制度,建立财务风险预警系统,打造高素质资本运营人才队伍,为资本运营的顺利开展提供保障,从而降低资本运营风险。  相似文献   

13.
通过对133家温州民营企业在投资倾向、投资决策、投资环境评价等方面的调查与分析,得出的结论是:新投资项目投向温州以外的其他区域占了多数,投资其他区域的最重要原因是投资环境较好;多数企业认为影响投资决策的关键因素是投资成本低,而完善的行业协会、融资渠道畅通和能利用温州集体品牌对企业投资决策的影响较小;投资环境总体仍不尽人意,反映了土地及房产价格过高、技术与管理人员供应不足和政府部门的工作效率低等突出问题。  相似文献   

14.
在城市服务设施的建设中,部分公共设施因为具有极强的负外部效应,属于公众嫌恶厌弃型的公共设施,使公众产生了“不要建在我家后院”的抵制情结。通过分析2009年番禺垃圾焚烧事件,发现公众的心理因素、经济因素、信任危机、公平性问题以及决策的公正性是导致邻避冲突产生的原因。因此,政府需要厘清自身角色以协调多方利益,扩大公民参与以降低邻避意识,科学选址以弱化位置的邻避效应,提供风险保障以缓解居民的担忧以及合理补偿以提高满意度,借此来缓解和疏导公众的邻避情结。  相似文献   

15.
高校突发公共事件应急管理的问题及对策分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
高等学校是国家培养人才的阵地,它对突发公共事件的应急处理效果直接关系到大学生的身体安全和心理安全,也关系到高校的办学水平和社会影响力,更关系到整个社会的良性运行和健康发展。高校面对突发公共事件必须加强应急管理,要在提高认识、健全机制、制定预案、增强能力、多方联动等方面下功夫,确保对突发公共事件的处置及时、高效和妥当。  相似文献   

16.
In this paper, I report the results of a 4-year study into how my students learn to become mathematics teachers during the combined 15-week methods and field placement course I teach. At the start of most weekly methods class meetings, groups of three or four students reported their critical incidents to each other, and then chose one incident to report to the whole class. Each student then submitted a written report of 10 critical incidents for grading. At the end of each semester, I administered a questionnaire about the usefulness of each of the elements of the course. Using these two main data sources, along with my own personal reflections on the course, this paper answers the question “What are the critical incidents preservice teachers encounter during their field experience, and what do they learn about teaching for understanding through reflecting on those critical incidents?” My analysis of the students’ incident reports found that the issues raised focused on four main areas: teaching and classroom management; student factors such as pre-requisite knowledge, understanding, resistance and motivation; issues concerning relationships with colleagues, students and parents; and school organizational issues such as policies and access to resources. Their learning about teaching for understanding focused on three broad areas: the conditions necessary to teach for understanding; facilitators of teaching for understanding; and barriers to teaching for understanding. The paper concludes with a discussion of the lessons learned about fostering reflection in novice teachers, and suggestions for further research.  相似文献   

17.
新职业岗位的不断涌现迫切需要技术技能型人才的输出,专业设置预警调控机制成为高职院校革新人才培养工作、提升教学质量的必要手段。基于对高职专业设置的影响因素分析和实证显著性分析,建立基于五维结构模型的预警指标体系,并构建预测预警模型。高职院校应完善人才供需预测和信息共享机制,加强专业设置预警决策机制,建立新专业设置风险防控机制。  相似文献   

18.
To identify prospectively measured risk factors of sexual assault (SA) among girls age 17 and younger. The data come from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and are derived from interviews with 1,087 girls, their primary caregivers, and household heads. The data were collected from the girls’ first year of life through their early twenties. Factors measured during childhood were used to predict whether the girls experienced a subsequent first sexual assault before the age of 18. Prospectively measured risk factors associated with subsequent child SA included the absence of one or both parents, maternal education less than college, family income below 400% of the federal poverty threshold, low caregiver warmth, child internalizing and externalizing behaviors, impulsivity, low achievement scores, and having been classified by their school as needing special education. Girls with behavioral health problems and learning challenges are at heightened risk for sexual assault. Research on behavioral health consequences of SA should control for preexisting SA risk factors to more accurately estimate the impact of child SA on subsequent behavioral health.  相似文献   

19.
Pesticide use in and around child care centers is a potential health threat to children and staff. The implementation of integrated pest management (IPM) can reduce these risks yet child care providers receive minimal, if any, education concerning pest management. The objectives of this qualitative study are to: (a) develop a model to describe the process of implementing an IPM program in child care centers, (b) identify the facilitators and barriers to implementing an IPM program in child care centers, and (c) examine congruence between IPM practices identified on an IPM checklist with practices reported in qualitative interviews with child care managers. Interviews and IPM checklist observations were conducted with nine child care center managers in California before and after the introduction of a pilot IPM education intervention program. The qualitative analysis of the interviews revealed a four-stage IPM implementation process, from awareness of IPM, recognizing the importance of IPM and learning how to practice it, motivation and the decision to adopt IPM, to the implementation of IPM. A wide range of facilitators and barriers were identified. There was general congruence between the manager interviews and IPM checklist findings on IPM policies, practices, and management. Understanding the process of how an IPM program was implemented in these child care centers and the facilitators and barriers involved in the process can inform planning efforts for future health interventions in child care.  相似文献   

20.
社会转型形势下,高校学生群体性事件时有发生,深刻影响了高校的和谐稳定发展。高校现有化解学生群体性事件的机制存在诸多缺陷,导致其实效性较差。随着群体性事件法律化解机制方面的研究日益完善和依法治校进程的推进,将法治路径引入高校学生群体性事件的治理也必将取得实效。高校应转变管理观念和模式,以学生为本,确立通畅的校生协商机制,重视学生的利益表达,完善校内申诉等学生权利救济途径,有效化解高校学生群体性事件,构建和谐校园。  相似文献   

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