A two-stage proxy variable approach to estimating movie box office receipts     

Frederick W. Derrick  Nancy A. Williams  Charles E. Scott 《Journal of Cultural Economics》2014,38(2):173-189

This paper advances the ongoing discussion of methods for predicting movie box office revenues with two contributions to the methodology and an out-of-sample test of the model. The first innovation is the development of a two-stage model using publicly available pre-release indicators to predict (1) initial week and (2) subsequent run box office revenues. To incorporate the experience-good nature of movies, the second stage is estimated by incorporating a proxy variable for box office success during the first week relative to predicted first week success. The second contribution is an empirical test of De Vany and Walls’ (J Econ Dyn Control 28:1035–1057, 2004) finding that the distribution of movie revenues has “heavy tails” and follows a non-Gaussian stable distribution with infinite variance. We estimate the two-stage model of a movie’s box office success on all general release movies in 1 year with both the Gaussian and stable distribution with heavy tails and infinite variance and find no evidence for the stable distribution in either stage of the estimation. This two-stage model is validated by comparing all general release movies in 3 future years (out-of-sample data) to the model’s predictions.  相似文献   

Campaign ‘76: Agenda setting during the New Hampshire primary     

Wenmouth Williams Jr.  William Semlak 《广播与电子媒介杂志》2013,57(4):531-540

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Report: The entebbe mathematics project     

Grace Alele Williams 《International Review of Education/Internationale Zeitschrift für Erziehungswissenschaft/Revue internationale l'éducation》1971,17(2):210-214

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RESEARCH PARTNERS: A NEW LOOK AT COLLABORATION OF FACULTY AND CLASSROOM TEACHERS     

Cleta Booth  Dr. Karen Cachevki Williams 《Journal of Early Childhood Teacher Education》2013,34(3):285-292

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Leadership and inclusion: a special school perspective     

Robin Attfield  & Chris Williams 《British Journal of Special Education》2003,30(1):28-33

In July 2002, the National College for School Leadership (NCSL) held a 'Leading Edge' seminar focused on the contribution that leaders in special schools can make to the development of Inclusive policies and practices. The day gave colleagues working in specialist contexts an opportunity to share examples and experiences of current initiatives and to speculate about future trends and developments in inclusive education. In this article, Robin Attfield and Chris Williams, Assistant Directors in Programmes and Research respectively at the NCSL, explore the context in which the seminar took place and some of the themes and issues that emerged from discussion on the day. At the end of their paper, they summarise the key messages that the special school leaders who attended the seminar wished to communicate to a wider audience and articulate a further role for leaders in special schools in the development of inclusion.  相似文献   

Justice in the process,not in the results     

Walter E. Williams 《Academic Questions》1996,9(4):76-79

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Let's keep in contact with Europe — a joint European research project about lifelong education for adults with learning difficulties     

Samuel Fernandez  Janos Kovari  Paola Vulterini  & Val Williams 《British Journal of Special Education》2002,29(2):83-90

The authors of this article come from a range of professional backgrounds in agencies across Europe. Samuel Fernandez lectures at the University of Oviedo in Spain; Janos Kovari works at the Kerek Vilag Foundation in Hungary; Paola Vulterini works for Capodarco, a service provider in Italy; and Val Williams is a researcher at the Norah Fry Research Centre at the University of Bristol. Using funding from the European Commission, the team undertook research into the curriculum provided for adults with learning difficulties in a variety of centres in their four home countries. Fernandez, Kovari, Vulterini and Williams find some interesting similarities and some significant differences in provision. They also seek the views of service users about a common core curriculum derived from their research and present a case for further work in this important area.  相似文献   

History of chemical engineering : By William F. Furter. Pp. xxii + 435. American Chemical Society, Washington, DC. 1980. $39.00     

Trevor I. Williams 《Endeavour》1981,5(4)

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How do students define their roles and responsibilities in online learning group projects?     

Karen C. Williams  Kari Morgan  Bruce A. Cameron 《Distance Education》2011,32(1):49-62

The goal of this study was to explore the processes of group role formation in online class settings. Qualitative analysis was used to code chat logs and discussion threads in six undergraduate Family and Consumer Sciences online courses that required online group projects. Four themes related to the process of group role formation emerged: testing the waters, apologies as being nice, tag – you’re it, and struggling to find one’s role. Students created roles of leader, wannabe, spoiler, agreeable enabler, coat‐tails, and supportive worker as the group process evolved over the course of the semester. Results lend support for a balance between allowing students to create and experience roles on their own and faculty assignment of roles. Questions are raised related to faculty approaches toward directing and scaffolding the group process.  相似文献   

Crossing cultures: Analysing the experiences of NZ returnees from the EU (UK vs. non-UK)     

Natalia Chaban  Allan Williams  Martin Holland  Valerie Boyce  Frendehl Warner 《Int J Intercult Relat》2011,35(6):776-790

While there is growing scholarly interest in returned and cyclical migration, and on young adult cultural or adventure seeking migration, there is still a lack of systematic empirical insights into how the experiences of being abroad, and after return, are mediated by exposure to different cultural environments. Addressing this conceptual and empirical gap, the paper analyses the experiences of New Zealand return migrants, or sojourners, who lived and worked in European countries (other than the UK) for more than one year and compares them with the experiences of NZ returnees from the UK. Drawing on 20 ‘non-UK’ and 22 ‘UK’ in-depth interviews, the paper revisits [Rhinesmith, 1975] and [Rhinesmith, 1986] typology of cross-cultural, or intercultural, adjustment (largely ignored in studies of return migration) to assess sojourners’ experiences throughout the migration cycle and serve as a useful tool for identifying and reporting psychological and socio-cultural elements in the returnees stories. The findings of sojourners’ possible identity shifts during intercultural transition are discussed with reference to the four-member paradigm of Cultural Identity Model (CIM) (Sussman, 2010) while addressing Sussman's (2002) argument that overseas adaptation and repatriation experiences are not directly associated. This paper demonstrates the need to understand first that the costs and benefits of circular migration or sojourning are country-specific, and that they do not ‘just happen’ at a particular moment or in one phase but are forged through a veritable rollercoaster of experiences of intercultural adjustment.  相似文献