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2015-2016 CBA联赛总体主场效应技术指标判别分析
引用本文:石〓磊,隗金水.2015-2016 CBA联赛总体主场效应技术指标判别分析[J].广州体育学院学报,2017,37(6):84-87.
作者姓名:石〓磊  隗金水
作者单位:1. 北京航空航天大学体育部,北京,100191;2. 广州体育学院研究生部,广东广州,510500
摘    要:引用了三种标准对2015-2016CBA联赛主场效应进行了检验,并进一步在技术指标层面对主场效应进行了逐步判别分析,结果表明:(1)三种标准的检验结果一致表明:联赛总体具有明显的主场效应,但是这种主场效应在常规赛阶段非常明显,在季后赛阶段未能显现.(2)总体比赛主场效应主要体现在罚球次数FTA、助攻AST、失误TO、犯规F、盖帽BL和抢断STL等6项指标上,其判别作用依次减弱;常规赛的判别指标依次是罚中次数FT、助攻AST、失误TO、盖帽BL、犯规F和抢断STL;季后赛阶段因无主场效应特征而无法建立逐步判别函数.(3)胜场的主场效应主要体现在5项指标:助攻AST、失误TO、罚球次数FTA、盖帽BL和三分投中次数P3,其判别作用依次减弱;负场的主要依次体现在罚中次数FT、防守篮板DR、犯规F和三分命中率PP3等4项指标.

关 键 词:2015-2016CBA联赛  主场效应(优势)  逐步判别分析
修稿时间:2017/7/16 0:00:00

Research on Total Home Advantage of 2015-2016 CBA Seasons With the Stepwise Discriminant Analysis
SHI Lei,WEI Jin-Shui.Research on Total Home Advantage of 2015-2016 CBA Seasons With the Stepwise Discriminant Analysis[J].Journal of Guangzhou Physical Education Institute,2017,37(6):84-87.
Authors:SHI Lei  WEI Jin-Shui
Abstract:With three different standards and Stepwise Discriminant Analysis, the Home Advantage of 2015-2016 CBA season has been done systematically, the results show that: (1) the tests from three different standards came to the same effect, the total season had a definite home advantage, especially in the regular seasons, but it had not in the playoffs. (2) there were 6 variables can discriminate the home advantage in the total season: free throw attempt, assistant, turnover, foul, block shots, steal, their effects decline gradually; and there were 6 variables in the regular seasons: free throw made, assistant, turnover, block shots, foul, steal; no home advantage was found in the play-off season, so the discrimination function would not been built. (3) In the winning plays, 5 indicators can discriminate the home advantage clearly: assistant, turnover, free throw attempted, block shots, three-point made; 4 indicators can discriminate the lost games: free throw made, defensive rebound, foul, three-point shot percent.
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