| 基于多因素综合的国防关键技术选择模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘书雷,邓启文,吴集.基于多因素综合的国防关键技术选择模型研究[J].科技管理研究,2021,41(14):203-207. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘书雷 邓启文 吴集 |
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| 作者单位： | 国防科技大学前沿交叉学科学院,湖南长沙410073 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目（面上项目，重点项目，重大项目） |
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| 摘 要： | 针对国防领域关键技术选择应用需求,在对国防关键技术的基本特征、主要选择方法和主要国家经验启示进行研究分析基础上,立足我国发展和军队建设实际,从应用关键、发展急需、技术可行、封锁受限和辐射带动等5个维度提出国防关键技术选择应遵循的5项基本准则和度量指标.研究认为国防关键技术选择体现的是一个选择决策过程,完全按照指标定量排序可能会产生刚性遗漏或不合理情况,需要人的主动参与和校正以更好地反映军事需求和国情军情.为此,基于综合数据定量支撑和专家经验判断,构建基于"准则约减+专家论证"的多因素综合的国防关键技术选择模型,为开展国防关键技术选择实践提供理论方法参考.
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| 关 键 词： | 国防关键技术 关键技术选择 选择准则 定量定性结合 |
| 收稿时间： | 2020/8/11 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2021/7/15 0:00:00 |
Study on the Selection Model of Defense Critical Technology Based on Multiple Index Analysis |
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| Liu Shulei,Wu Ji,Deng Qiwen.Study on the Selection Model of Defense Critical Technology Based on Multiple Index Analysis[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2021,41(14):203-207. |
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| Authors: | Liu Shulei Wu Ji Deng Qiwen |
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| Abstract: | Based on the research of the basic characteristics, main methods and foreign experience of defense critical technologies, this paper puts forward the basic criteria and index system that should be followed in the selection of defense critical technologies from five dimensions of application key, development urgent need, technology feasibility, blockade limited and radiation driven. According to the research, the selection of defense critical technology is a decision-making process, which may lead to omission or unreasonable situation if it is completely ordered according to the quantitative indicators, therefore, this paper constructs a multi factor comprehensive evaluation model based on "criteria reduction + expert argumentation" by integrating quantitative data support and expert experience judgment, which provides support for the practice of defense critical technology selection. |
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| Keywords: | defense critical technology selection principles multiple index analysis selection model |
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