Quantifying revolutionary discoveries: Evidence from Nobel prize-winning papers |
| |
| Institution: | 1. School of Information Management, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China;2. School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200230, China;1. School of Information Management and Artificial Intelligence, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, China;2. School of Economics and Management, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), China;1. Hasselt University, 3500 Hasselt, Belgium;2. KU Leuven, MSI, Facultair Onderzoekscentrum ECOOM, Naamsestraat 61, 3000 Leuven, Belgium;3. University of Antwerp, Faculty of Social Sciences, Middelheimlaan 1, 2020 Antwerp, Belgium;1. School of Information, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, PR China;2. School of Information Technology and Management, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, PR China |
| |
| Abstract: | Numerous metrics have been developed to identify revolutionary science which is crucial for advancing science. However, these metrics have rarely successfully identified revolutionary discoveries. We propose a two-dimension metric to quantify revolutionary discoveries by combining the consolidation-or-destabilization (CD) index with the citation count. To verify the validity of the metric, we utilize multivariate linear regression to investigate the differences in the CD indices and citations between 164 Nobel prize-winning papers from 1976 to 2016 (i.e., revolutionary science) and 9,034 counterparts that are similar to the Nobel prize-winning papers in terms of bibliographic information. We find that our proposed metric successfully shows a significant and distinct difference between the Nobel prize-winning papers and their counterparts in that the former receive around 880 more citations and 0.07 higher CD indices than the latter. The reliability of our proposed measure is robust. |
| |
| Keywords: | |
| 本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录！ |
|
