| 丹江口水库上游水资源现状及变化趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭海晋、金蓉玲.丹江口水库上游水资源现状及变化趋势分析[J].资源科学,1997,19(1):28-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭海晋、金蓉玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 长江水利委员会水文局!武汉430010 |
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| 摘 要： | 南水北调中线工程从汉江丹江口水库引水，丹江口上游水资源状况是影响可调水量的重要因素。本文对丹江口上游水资源及利用状况进行了分析，应用指标法、回归法、灰色法对上游地区2000、2020水平年水资源消耗量作了预测，并据此分析了丹江口入库水量变化趋势。结果表明，丹江口,南水北调、丹江口水库、水资源、入库水量、预测
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| 关 键 词： | 南水北调 丹江口水库 水资源 入库水量 预测 |
ANALYSIS OF PRESENT STATE OF WATER RESOURCES AND ITS CHANGING TENDENCY FOR THE UPSTREAM OF DANJIANGKOU RESERVOIR |
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| Guo Haijin,Jin Rongling.ANALYSIS OF PRESENT STATE OF WATER RESOURCES AND ITS CHANGING TENDENCY FOR THE UPSTREAM OF DANJIANGKOU RESERVOIR[J].Resources Science,1997,19(1):28-34. |
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| Authors: | Guo Haijin Jin Rongling |
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| Abstract: | The middle route water transfer project diverts water from Danjiangkou reservoir to North China. The transferable water quantity depends on water resources of the upstream of the reservoir. The study mainly analyses the present state of water resources and their utilization. Meanwhile, water consumption in the year 2000 and 2020 is predicted by using index method, regression model and grey model. The changing tendency of the incoming water quantity flowing into Danjiangkou reservoir is examined. Results showed that the upstream of the reservoir is rich in water resources, the incoming water quantity flowing into Danjiangkou reservoir will not significantly drop due to industrial and agricultural development in the upstream. Thus, the reservoir has the capacity to provide water for North China. |
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| Keywords: | South-to-North water transfer Danjiangkou reservoir Water resources Incoming water quantity Prediction |
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