| 农业碳排放变化及驱动力研究-以滁州市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 王凯,晋秀龙,王丽,王秋龙.农业碳排放变化及驱动力研究-以滁州市为例[J].滁州师专学报,2013(5):6-10. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王凯 晋秀龙 王丽 王秋龙 |
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| 作者单位： | 滁州学院地理信息与旅游学院,安徽滁州239000 |
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| 基金项目： | 安徽省高校省级社会科学研究项目（sK20128344）;安徽省高校省级社会科学研究项目（2011SK454）;滁州市科技计划项目（2010103） |
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| 摘 要： | 研究基于碳排放测算模型，从滁州农业生产中4个主要方面的碳源，测算了滁州2000-2009年农业碳排放量，并在此基础上进一步通过Kaya恒等式变形对滁州农业碳排放影响因素进行分解。研究结果表明：自2000年以来滁州农业碳排放总量和碳排放效率总体呈现上升态势，碳排放强度呈现缓慢下降趋势；生产模式因素、生产资料效率因素对碳排放量具有一定的抑制作用，但效果不够显著，分别累计实现15．66％、97．05％的碳减排；而经济规模因素、人口规模因素则对农业碳排放具有较强推动作用，分别累计产生195．86％、16．85％的碳增量。
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| 关 键 词： | 农业碳排放 驱动力因素 Kaya恒等式 |
Research on Temporal Characteristics and Affecting Factors of Agricultural Carbon Emission-A Case Study of Chuzhou |
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| Authors: | Wang Kai Jin Xiulong Wang Li Wang Qiulong |
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| Institution: | Wang Kai, Jin Xiulong, Wang Li, Wang Qiulong |
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| Abstract: | Based on four kinds of main carbon sources from agricultural production ,this research using the methods of carbon emission model calculates Chuzhou agricultural carbon emission from 2000 to 2009 .T hen ,all the factors affecting the carbon emission are decomposed by reasonable conversion of Kaya equation .The result shows that ：there is an increasing trend in agricultural carbon emission and agricultural carbon emissions efficiency ,and an decreasing trend in the agricultural carbon emissions in-tensity ;the factors of agricultural production model and efficiency can restrain the carbon emission ,but the effect is not obvious ;Compared with those in 2000 ,in 2009 the model factor cut 15 .66% carbon e-mission and the efficiency factor cut 97 .05% ;in contrast , the economic scale factor and population scale factor played an active role in agricultural carbon emission ,w hich increase respectively 195 .86%and 16 .85% carbon emission . |
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| Keywords: | agricultural carbon emission affecting factors Kaya equation |
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