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山东省金融业与经济发展关系的实证研究
引用本文:阎虹戎.山东省金融业与经济发展关系的实证研究[J].泰安师专学报,2014(2):120-126.
作者姓名:阎虹戎
作者单位:济南大学经济学院,山东济南250022
摘    要:金融是现代经济的核心,是实体经济发展的重要支撑.山东省的金融业发展滞后于部分东南沿海地区,与山东省经济大省的地位极不匹配.运用VAR模型、脉冲响应函数及方差分解等方法,研究金融总量、金融效率与经济发展的关系,结果显示,山东省金融业的总体发展情况和金融效率与经济发展具有长期稳定的均衡关系,金融业总体发展情况对经济发展的贡献度在65%以上但是呈现下降趋势,金融效率对经济发展的贡献度在20%左右但逐步提高.

关 键 词:山东省  金融业  经济发展  VAR模型

Empirical Study on Connections between Shandong Financial Industry and Economic Development
Institution:YAN Hong - rong ( School of Economics, University of Jinan, Jinan, Shandong 250022)
Abstract:Financial industry is the core of modem economy and the important support of the practical e- conomy. Undeveloped financial industry can restrict development of economy. Financial industry in Shandong Province is not as developed as that in the southeast coastal areas. It is not suitable for economic development. This paper examines connections among total volume of finance, financial efficiency and economic development using vector auto - regression analysis, impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis. We find a long - term stable equilibrium among total volume of finance, financial efficiency and economic develop- ment. Contribution degree of total volume of finance to economic development is 65 percent and it descends gradually. Financial efficiency can promote development of economy by 20 percent and the proportion improves increasingly.
Keywords:Shandong  Financial industry  Economic development  VAR
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