| 基于场论的技术扩散速度三阶段模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 滕永刚,鞠晓峰.基于场论的技术扩散速度三阶段模型[J].中国软科学,2007,35(9):111-117. |
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| 作者姓名： | 滕永刚 鞠晓峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 哈尔滨工业大学,管理学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150001 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文以技术扩散速度为主要研究对象,根据产品生命周期和技术扩散过程中的场态特征,将技术扩散过程分为三个阶段,即场源形成阶段、场源稳定阶段、场源衰退阶段,根据不同阶段的技术扩散特点构建了三个阶段的技术扩散速度模型,并根据中国移动通信市场的发展的基本状况,应用统计工具软件对模型的拟合程度及模型参数进行估计验证,得出结果比较满意。根据此三阶段模型对技术扩散全过程中的各个阶段的扩散速度有更深入的认识。
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| 关 键 词： | 技术扩散 技术扩散场 扩散速度模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-9753（2007）09-0111-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-05-28 |
Three - Stage Model of Technical Diffusion Rate Based on Field Theory |
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| TENG Yong-gang,JU Xiao-feng.Three - Stage Model of Technical Diffusion Rate Based on Field Theory[J].China Soft Science,2007,35(9):111-117. |
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| Authors: | TENG Yong-gang JU Xiao-feng |
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| Institution: | School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper takes the technical diffusion rate as the main research object,according to the life cycle of prod- ucts and field condition characteristics in the technical diffusion process,divides the technology diffusion process into three stages,namely the form period of field source,the steady period of field source,and the decline period of field source.According to the different period characteristics of technical diffusion,this paper brings forward three stages technology diffusion rate models,then carries on the confirmation with statistical software to the model fitting degree and the model parameters,using the data of China mobile communication market,obtains the quite satisfied result.Each stage diffusion rate will be thoroughly understandable in the entire process of technical diffusion basing on three stages models of rate. |
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| Keywords: | technical diffusion technical diffusion field technical diffusion rate |
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