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城市地铁变形预测的三次指数平滑法
引用本文:麻凤海,颜柳.城市地铁变形预测的三次指数平滑法[J].大连大学学报,2007,28(6):1-4.
作者姓名:麻凤海  颜柳
作者单位:1. 大连大学,岩土与结构工程研究中心,辽宁,大连,116622
2. 辽宁工程技术大学,测绘与地理科学学院,辽宁,阜新,123000
摘    要:详细介绍了指数平滑法及三次指数平滑法的预测过程,应用此方法对实测资料进行了预计和比较.结果表明,其平均相对误差都小于1%.由此可见,该方法对城市地铁变形预测具有一定的应用价值.同时,文中指出了应用指数平滑法的一些优点及应注意的一些问题.

关 键 词:城市地铁  三次指数平滑法  变形预测
文章编号:1008-2395(2007)06-0001-04
修稿时间:2007年8月31日

Prediction of City Subway Deformation Prediction by Cubic Exponential Smoothing Method
MA Feng-hai,YAN Liu.Prediction of City Subway Deformation Prediction by Cubic Exponential Smoothing Method[J].Journal of Dalian University,2007,28(6):1-4.
Authors:MA Feng-hai  YAN Liu
Abstract:In this paper,the exponential smoothing method and the prediction process of the cubic exponential smoothing method are introduced in detail.Prediction and comparisons between the analytical results and the field data were conducted by using the method and the error on average between prediction and field data is less than 1%.It can be concluded that the deformation prediction of cubic exponential smoothing method is useful and applicable to city subway.Meanwhile,the advantages and disadvantages and some problems in operating of the exponential smoothing method were also pointed out.
Keywords:city subway  cubic exponential smoothing method  deformation prediction
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