| 对安徽省城乡居民储蓄存款实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴骏.对安徽省城乡居民储蓄存款实证分析[J].预测,2002,21(5):31-33. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴骏 |
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| 作者单位： | 合肥工业大学 管理学院，安徽 合肥 230009 |
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| 摘 要： | 近20年来，我省城乡居民储蓄存款迅速增长，本文首先分析原因，认为收入增长和居民固有的储蓄倾向是居民储蓄存款增长的主要因素，而利率和通货膨胀对居民储蓄行为影响是很复杂的。然后我们运用模型进行分析，认为近几年我省居民储蓄存款增长率虽然下降，但这主要是由于我省居民货币收入增长率下降所引志的，而我省居民所固有的储蓄倾向并没有发生改变。最后我们对未来我省城乡居民储蓄存款作出初步预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 安徽 城乡居民 储蓄存款 边际储蓄倾向 利率 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-5192(2002)05-0031-03 |
A Positive Analysis of the Saving Deposit of Anhui Province Inhabitants |
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| WU Jun.A Positive Analysis of the Saving Deposit of Anhui Province Inhabitants[J].Forecasting,2002,21(5):31-33. |
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| Authors: | WU Jun |
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| Abstract: | In recent twenty years, the saving deposit of Anhui province inhabitants has grown rapidly. This paper first analyses the factors about our inhabitant saving behavior. There are two main factors, income and propensity to saving. We find that our inhabitants are inert to the change of interest rates. Then, the paper forecasts our inhabitant's saving deposit in next years. |
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| Keywords: | saving deposit marginal propensity to saving interest rate |
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