| 近二十年我国图书馆学文献增长趋势和动态分布区域 |
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| 引用本文： | 李志涛.近二十年我国图书馆学文献增长趋势和动态分布区域[J].现代情报,2010,30(8):32-35. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李志涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津电子信息职业技术学院图书馆,天津300132 |
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| 摘 要： | 从科学文献年度数量增长的动态分布,来研究一个学科的发展情况,可以大致了解这个学科发展的特点和规律。通过对近二十年图书馆学产出期刊论文的统计,结合文献数量增长的机理分析,采用数学与统计的方法,对文献增长的动态分布进行测度,探索科学文献增长受客观因素影响的关系。总结得出我国图书馆学研究近二十年的发展规律,确定了文献增长的动态分布范围,文献量约3～5年翻一番。
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| 关 键 词： | 图书馆学 文献 发文量 统计分析 趋势 拟合 方程 分布区域 |
The Growth Trend and Dynamic Distribution Region of Library Literature in Recent 20 Years |
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| Authors: | Li Zhitao |
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| Institution: | Library, Electrronic Imformation Vocational Technology College, Tianjin 300132, China |
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| Abstract: | The characteristics and disciplines of subject＇s development can be concluded from researching the subject based on the annual growth trend and dynamic distribution of scientific literature.By calculating the journals of recent 20 years,combining with mechanism analysis of literature growth,using mathematical and statistical methods,as well as measuring the dynamic distribution of literature growth,the exploration of the influence over literature growth by objective factors can be achieved.The distribution region of literature growth can be determined by summarizing the developing regulation of library research in recent 20 years.Literature is about 3～5 years to double. |
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| Keywords: | library science literature the quantity of published articles statistic and analysis trend fitting function distribution area |
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