| 中国经济发展与能源消费响应关系研究——基于相对"脱钩"与"复钩"理论的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵一平,孙启宏,段宁.中国经济发展与能源消费响应关系研究——基于相对"脱钩"与"复钩"理论的实证研究[J].科研管理,2006,27(3):128-134. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵一平 孙启宏 段宁 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 大连理工大学,辽宁 116023;
2. 中国环境科学研究院,北京 100012 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技攻关计划项目重大环境问题对策与关键支撑技术研究(2003BA614A-02,2003.1-2005.12)，国家自然科学基金项目(70403008,2005.1-2007.12) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据"脱钩"与"复钩"的基本思想,提出我国经济发展与能源消费相对"脱钩"与"复钩"的概念模型,并对我国经济发展与能源消费的响应关系进行实证研究,对我国能源弱"脱钩"现象背后存在的深层次问题及主要矛盾进行识别与分析。在此基础上对未来20年我国能源消费领域面临的问题、潜在的危机及发展战略进行预测分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济与能源 弱"脱钩" 扩张性"复钩" 实证研究 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2995（2006）03-007-0128 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-03-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年3月29日 |
Responsive relationship between economic development and energy consumption in China--a practical research based on comparative de-link and re-link theory |
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| Zhao Yi-ping,Sun Qi-hong,Duan Ning.Responsive relationship between economic development and energy consumption in China--a practical research based on comparative de-link and re-link theory[J].Science Research Management,2006,27(3):128-134. |
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| Authors: | Zhao Yi-ping Sun Qi-hong Duan Ning |
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| Institution: | 1. Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116023, China;
2. Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012,China |
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| Abstract: | According to the basic theory of comparative de-link and relink,this paper proposes a conceptual model of comparative de-link and re-link relationship and a empirical study is done on the responsive relations between Chinese economy development and energy consumption.The weak de-link relationship and an expensive re-link tendency between economy and energy are identified and some major problems and key factors are discussed accordingly.Potential crisis faced by China in the near future is forecasted and some conclusions are made in the end. |
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| Keywords: | economy and energy weak re-link expensive de-link practical research |
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