| 中国式“不差钱”与中国式“钱荒”之悖论 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨健.中国式“不差钱”与中国式“钱荒”之悖论[J].中国科学院院刊,2013(6):781-786. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨健 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国人民大学金融信息中心,北京100049 |
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| 摘 要： | 最近中国式"钱荒"和前期中国式"不差钱"形成了强烈反差,并引发了全世界的关注。文章分析了对于"钱荒"目前盛行的5种假说:国际阴谋说、季节波动说、央行自制说、影子银行说和地方债务说,并从效度、信度和认知度3个维度对各种诱因进行测度评估,然后分析了中国与西方政治体制和财政体制的不同,预测了各种调控手段对未来中国经济可能造成的影响,最后得出央行应借机降低存款准备金率的建议!
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| 关 键 词： | 钱荒 广义货币(M2) 信度 效度 认知度 央行 存款准备金率 |
| 收稿时间： | 2013/7/9 0:00:00 |
Which is True? Monetary Expansion or Liquidity Strain |
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| Yang Jian.Which is True? Monetary Expansion or Liquidity Strain[J].Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,2013(6):781-786. |
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| Authors: | Yang Jian |
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| Institution: | Yang Jian (The Financial Information Center, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100 190, China ) |
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| Abstract: | To the surprise of many Chinese economists, who are still concerning about the rapid increasing of M2 may induce high inflation rates, the Chinese interbank markets have suffered a severe liquid lyzed five possible explanations： international conspiracy, seasonal fluctuations, lty the strain in the past weeks. This paper ana- central bank self-control, shadow banks, and local government debt. And the incentives from validity, reliability, and recognition were measttred. Then this paper com- pared the Chinese political and financial system with that of the west, and predicted the impacts of different control methods to China＇ s future economy. Finally, it is suggested that the Central Bank of China should seize the opportunity to reduce the Re- serve Requirement Ratio （RRR） |
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| Keywords: | shortage of money M2 validity reliability recognition Central Bank Reserve Requirement Ratio （RRR） |
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