| 基于混沌理论的农业技术创新扩散过程研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 崔和瑞,梁丽华.基于混沌理论的农业技术创新扩散过程研究[J].科技管理研究,2010(17). |
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| 作者姓名： | 崔和瑞 梁丽华 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力大学经济管理系,河北保定,071003 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目"社会化小农户系统下的农业技术创新扩散研究"，河北省哲学社会科学规划项目"技术进步与河北省经济可持续增长问题研究" |
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| 摘 要： | 农业生产力的提高离不开农业技术创新,而农业技术创新必须经过扩散才能发挥技术创新的作用.系统研究了农业技术创新扩散过程的特征和运行机制,基于混沌理论研究了农业技术创新扩散过程的混沌性,构建了农业技术创新扩散过程的混沌模型,并对扩散过程进行了混沌分析.通过分析发现虽然农业技术创新成果扩散的过程是复杂系统,其过程虽表征为不确定性,但混沌性态是有序和可以控制的.
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| 关 键 词： | 农业技术 技术创新扩散 混沌分析 |
Study on Agricultural Technology Innovation Diffusion Process Based on Chaotic Theory |
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| CUI Herui,LIANG Lihua.Study on Agricultural Technology Innovation Diffusion Process Based on Chaotic Theory[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2010(17). |
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| Authors: | CUI Herui LIANG Lihua |
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| Institution: | CUI Herui,LIANG Lihua(Department of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Baoding 071003,Hebei) |
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| Abstract: | The improvement of agricultural productivity can not be separated from agriculture technological innovation,and by technology diffusion can the agriculture technological innovation play the role.The paper firstly analyzed the feature and operating system of the spread of agricultural technology innovation process,then through Chaos Theory drew the conclusion that the diffusion process would be chaotic.Finally,it constructed a model to analyses the chaos of agricultural technology diffusion process.It found ... |
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| Keywords: | agricultural technology technology innovation diffusion Chaos theory |
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