| 基于GM(1,1)模型的我国R&D投入强度预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 蔡济波,陈海波.基于GM(1,1)模型的我国R&D投入强度预测研究[J].科技管理研究,2010,30(21). |
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| 作者姓名： | 蔡济波 陈海波 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 江苏大学工商管理学院,江苏镇江,212013
2. 江苏大学财经学院,江苏镇江,212013 |
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| 基金项目： | 江苏省2009年度普通高校研究生科研创新计划“中国R&D投入与经济发展的系统动态仿真及战略管理研究”(CX09B_062R) |
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| 摘 要： | 20世纪90年代中期以来,我国R&D投入一直保持持续、稳定的增长,带来了科学技术的飞跃发展。从R&D投入强度,即R&D经费与国内生产总值之比入手,构建了我国R&D投入强度的GM(1,1)模型,提出了提高我国R&D投入强度的几点思考。
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| 关 键 词： | R&D投入强度 GM(1 1) 预测 |
Prediction Research on China's R&D Input Intensity Based on GM(1,1) Model |
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| CAI Jibo,CHEN Haibo.Prediction Research on China''s R&D Input Intensity Based on GM(1,1) Model[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2010,30(21). |
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| Authors: | CAI Jibo CHEN Haibo |
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| Institution: | CAI Jibo1,CHEN Haibo2(1.School of Business Administraion,Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang 212013,Jiangsu,2.School of Finance and Economics,Jiangsu) |
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| Abstract: | Since the mid 1990s,R&D investment has maintained the sustainable and stable growth in China,which has brought the rapid development of science and technology.This paper started with the R & D input intensity,ie ratio R & D fund to GDP,and constructed the GM(1,1) model of Chinese R & D input intensity,then proposed several thoughts on improving the strength of Chinese R & D input investment. |
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| Keywords: | R&D input Intensity GM(1 1) forecast |
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