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高技术产业优先发展领域评价与选择——基于技术预见的实证研究
引用本文:邱立新.高技术产业优先发展领域评价与选择——基于技术预见的实证研究[J].科技管理研究,2010,30(14).
作者姓名:邱立新
作者单位:青岛科技大学经济与管理学院,山东青岛,266061
基金项目:青岛市科技计划重点专项,青岛市软科学项目 
摘    要:通过技术预见来选择能产生最大经济与社会效益的战略研究领域,对促进地区经济增长,实现社会和谐发展,有着十分重要的意义.以青岛市高技术产业优先发展领域的技术预见为例,采用统计分析法和综合指数评价法对德尔菲调查问卷信息进行了分析评价,结论是:电子信息、海洋科技、生物医药、新材料、资源综合利用与环境保护领域分别排在前五位.通过青岛市技术预见的实证研究,就如何充分发挥技术预见的作用以促进高技术产业发展提出了几点建议.

关 键 词:技术预见  高技术产业  领域  评价  实证研究

Evaluation and Selection of Priority Areas of Development in High-tech Industry:An Empirical Study Based on Technology Foresight
QIU Lixin.Evaluation and Selection of Priority Areas of Development in High-tech Industry:An Empirical Study Based on Technology Foresight[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2010,30(14).
Authors:QIU Lixin
Institution:QIU Lixin (Economy and Management Institute,Qingdao University of Science and Technology,Qingdao 266061,Shandong)
Abstract:It is of great significance to choose the strategic research areas through the technology foresight,which can generate the greatest economic and social benefits and promote regional economic growth,and social harmony and development as well.In this paper,Delphi survey information was analyzed and evaluated using statistical methods and fuzzy synthetical evaluation in the case of technology foresight of high-tech industry development priorities in Qingdao.The results show that electronic information,marine,b...
Keywords:technology foresight  high-tech industry  priority areas  evaluation  empirical study  
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