| 发展绿色经济与防范巨灾风险 |
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| 引用本文： | 史秦青,史培军,王静爱.发展绿色经济与防范巨灾风险[J].北京师范大学学报(社会科学版),2010(6):134-141. |
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| 作者姓名： | 史秦青 史培军 王静爱 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京师范大学地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室,北京,100875;北京大学信息科学学院,北京,100871;北京师范大学地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室,北京,100875;北京师范大学区域地理研究重点实验室,北京,100875 |
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| 基金项目： | 科技部国际科技合作项目“全球气候变化与巨灾防范”(2008DFA20640) |
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| 摘 要： | 随着冬季低温、南方雪灾等灾害的出现,哥本哈根气候大会再次将人们的关注聚焦在发展绿色经济上。以往人们较多关注环境生态指标在历史纵向维度的宏观变化趋势,而忽视了全球气候变化的局部微小波动其实也蕴含着巨灾风险的可能。本文以碳汇模型为桥梁,阐述了绿色经济、气候变化与巨灾风险之间的关系;建立了绿色经济投入-产出模型;评估了发展绿色经济对于防范巨灾风险的效益。结果表明:发展绿色经济,增加植被碳汇,可降低气候变化的剧烈程度,增强巨灾风险防范能力。
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| 关 键 词： | 绿色经济 气候变化应对 巨灾风险防范 |
Green Economy and Catastrophe Risk Governance |
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| SHI Qin-qing,SHI Pei-jun,WANG Jing-ai.Green Economy and Catastrophe Risk Governance[J].Journal of Beijing Normal University(Social Science Edition),2010(6):134-141. |
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| Authors: | SHI Qin-qing SHI Pei-jun WANG Jing-ai |
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| Institution: | SHI Qin-qing1,2,SHI Pei-jun1,WANG Jing-ai3(1.National Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Process , Resource Ecology,BNU,Beijing 100875,2.School of Information Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871,3.Key Laboratory of Regional Geography Research,China) |
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| Abstract: | After the global colder winter and the snow storm over Southern China,the Copenhagen Climate Conference focused attention on green economy again.People used to draw too much attention to environmental and ecological indicators in time dimension to realize the catastrophic risk under the tiny change of global climate.With the connection from the selected model of vegetation’s carbon sin,this paper illustrates the relationship between green economy,climate change,and catastrophe risk governance,establishes an input-output model for green economic,and assesses the benefits of green eco-nomy development for catastrophic risk governance.The result shows that to develop green economy can increase carbon sin,which will both smooth the climate change and enhance the ability of catastrophic risk governance. |
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| Keywords: | green economy climate change catastrophe risk |
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