航运上市公司财务预警的Logistic回归分析 |
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引用本文: | 甘爱平,柳亮,陈可桢.航运上市公司财务预警的Logistic回归分析[J].上海海事大学学报,2014,35(1):65-68. |
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作者姓名: | 甘爱平 柳亮 陈可桢 |
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作者单位: | 上海海事大学 经济管理学院,上海海事大学 经济管理学院,上海海事大学 经济管理学院 |
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基金项目: | 国家自然科学基金(71103066);国家社会科学基金(11BJY111);上海市大文科研究生学术新人培育计划(wk2012023);上海市哲学社会科学规划一般课题(2012BGL004);上海市教育科学研究项目(10YS121);上海市教育委员会创新项目(B09032, 13YS050);上海海事大学校基金(20120068) |
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摘 要: | 针对近两年我国航运上市公司持续亏损的局面,建立企业财务预警模型对其进行财务预警分析.该方法首先通过主成分指标筛选出5个主成分因子;然后通过多元Logistic回归方法构建我国航运上市公司财务预警模型.结果表明,该预警模型的整体预测准确率达到100%,模型的拟合程度较高.
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关 键 词: | 财务预警 Logistic回归分析 风险控制 航运 上市公司 |
收稿时间: | 2013/4/18 0:00:00 |
修稿时间: | 2013/11/4 0:00:00 |
Logistic regression analysis on financial warning of listed shipping companies |
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Institution: | -,shanghai maritime university and - |
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Abstract: | In the past two years, the listed shipping companies in China continue to lose, so it is necessary to establish a financial warning model for early warning analysis on their financial performance. First, five principle component factors are selected through principle component index screening; then, the financial warning model of listed shipping companies in China is built by Logistic regression method. The results show that the overall prediction accuracy of the model reaches 100%, and its degree of fitness is quite high. |
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Keywords: | financial warning Logistic regression analysis risk control shipping listed company |
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