| 基于突变级数模型的城市低碳竞争力评价及障碍因子诊断分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 李彩惠,霍海鹰,李雅洁,侯玮.基于突变级数模型的城市低碳竞争力评价及障碍因子诊断分析[J].资源科学,2015,37(7):1474-1481. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李彩惠 霍海鹰 李雅洁 侯玮 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学管理与经济学部, 天津300072;冀中能源股份有限公司, 邢台054000,河北工程大学建筑学院, 邯郸056038,河北工程大学建筑学院, 邯郸056038,河北工程大学资源学院, 邯郸056038 |
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| 基金项目： | 河北省自然科学基金项目(E2014402037)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 低碳竞争力是世界普遍关注的热点问题。本文在理解低碳经济相关理论的基础上,构建了城市低碳竞争力评价指标体系,指标体系由经济系统、社会系统和环境系统3个子系统19个指标组成。文章结合突变级数模型,以山东省17个城市作为研究对象,对城市低碳竞争力水平进行研究,并将其划分为3类:低碳竞争力优势区、低碳竞争力平缓区和低碳竞争力劣势区。山东大部分城市属于低碳竞争力平缓区(5个城市)及劣势区(6个城市),低碳竞争力优势区(6个城市)多位于中东部城市区域,测算结果表明山东省低碳竞争力从西南部地区向东部沿海不断增强,基本反映了山东省城市低碳竞争力的发展水平。为了准确找出城市低碳竞争力发展的阻力,利用改进障碍因子法对山东省城市低碳竞争力障碍度进行测算,分别以中间层和指标层对制约城市低碳竞争力发展的主要障碍因子展开分析,结果显示,公交运营里程数不足、湿地面积比重和城市园林面积较低已成为制约山东省城市低碳竞争力发展的主要障碍因子,应在今后的发展中予以重视。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市 低碳竞争力 改进障碍因子诊断 突变级数法 主成分分析 山东省 |
| 收稿时间： | 9/1/2014 12:00:00 AM |
Evaluation of low-carbon city competitiveness and its obstacle indicators analysis in Shandong Province |
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| LI Caihui,HUO Haiying,LI Yajie and HOU Wei.Evaluation of low-carbon city competitiveness and its obstacle indicators analysis in Shandong Province[J].Resources Science,2015,37(7):1474-1481. |
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| Authors: | LI Caihui HUO Haiying LI Yajie and HOU Wei |
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| Institution: | School of Management, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China;Jizhong Energy Resources, Xingtai 054000, China,Hebei University of Engineering Architecture College, Handan 056038, China,Hebei University of Engineering Architecture College, Handan 056038, China and Hebei University of Engineering Resources College, Handan 056038, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the understanding of low-carbon economy theory we establish a low-carbon competitiveness measurement index system. The index system consists of 19 indexes,including three sub-systems (economic,social,resource systems). We applied catastrophe modeling to measure the low-carbon competitiveness of 17 cities in Shandong. Using sequential cluster model classification the 17 regions and low-carbon competitiveness conditions fell into three types: low-carbon competitiveness advantage area,low-carbon competitiveness flat area and low-carbon competitiveness disadvantage area. Most of the cites in Shandong belonged to the low-carbon competitiveness flat area and low-carbon competitiveness disadvantage area,while the low-carbon competitiveness advantage area usually were located in central and eastern areas. Results indicate that low-carbon competitiveness increases from southwest to northeast and reflects the development level of low-carbon competitiveness in Shandong. In order to accurately identify the resistance of city low-carbon competitiveness,we used obstacle indicators respectively from the middle layer and index layer to evaluate low-carbon competitiveness. Results revealed universal obstacle indicators,including a lack of bus service kilometers,low proportion of wetland area and shortage of urban garden area. All of these factors restricting the development of low carbon city competitiveness in Shandong should be given more attention in the future. Based on different conditions in different cities,we provide policy implications and theoretical bases for the development of low-carbon competitiveness in Shandong. |
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| Keywords: | city low-carbon competitiveness improved obstacle indicators catastrophe model principal component analysis Shandong Province |
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