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人民币汇率升值与人民币贬值的两难抉择
引用本文:杨健.人民币汇率升值与人民币贬值的两难抉择[J].中国科学院院刊,2010,25(3):279-287.
作者姓名:杨健
作者单位:中国人民大学金融信息,北京,100872
摘    要:最近,国际上呼吁人民币升值之声不绝于耳,而所谓人民币升值原指人民币汇率升值,即人民币对外币升值,这与国内通货膨胀导致人民币贬值不是相互对应的。本文试图探讨中国在人民币汇率升值与人民币实际贬值之中的两难抉择,以人民币汇率升值作为必然趋势,从购买力平价、管理浮动汇率模式、利率调控、利益驱动、人民币国际化与贸易顺差、受益行业与受损行业、外资投资与国内融资及人民币汇率升值与人民币贬值等切入,就人民币汇率的升值模式与替代策略和人民币汇率策略的成功标志进行了阐述。

关 键 词:人民币汇率升值  人民币贬值  替代策略

The Dilemma Choice in the RMB Exchange Rate Upvaluation and RMB Devaluation
Yang Jian.The Dilemma Choice in the RMB Exchange Rate Upvaluation and RMB Devaluation[J].Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,2010,25(3):279-287.
Authors:Yang Jian
Institution:Yang Jian(Financial Information of Renmin University of China 100872 Beijing)
Abstract:Recently,the voice of the appeal for the RMB(Renminbi) exchange rate upvaluation has been lingering in one’s ears internationally,but the so-called RMB upvaluation originally indicates the RMB exchange rate upvaluation,namely the RMB upvaluation versus foreign currency,which is not corresponding to each other with domestic inflation of currency resulting in RMB devaluation.The present paper tries to discuss the dilemma choice in RMB exchange rate upvaluation and RMB actual devaluation in China,and expounds the successful signs for RMB exchange rate upvaluation mode and substitutive tactics and RMB exchange rate tactics,with RMB exchange rate upvaluation as inevitable trend,and with respect to purchasing power parity,management floating exchange rate mode,interest rate regulation and control,benefit driving,RMB internationalization and favorable trade balance,benefited vocations and damaged vocations,foreign capital investment and domestic financing and RMB exchange rate upvaluation and RMB devaluation,etc.
Keywords:RMB exchange rate upvaluation  RMB devaluation  substitutive tactics
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