| 新型城镇化与“胡焕庸线”的突破可能性 |
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| 引用本文： | 张永岳,宋艳姣,张传勇.新型城镇化与“胡焕庸线”的突破可能性[J].华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2015,47(2):101-112. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张永岳 宋艳姣 张传勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东师范大学城市发展研究院，上海，200062 |
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| 摘 要： | “胡焕庸线”从1935年提出至今已有80年。迄今为止，我国人口分布不平衡的格局并未发生很大变化。在新的历史条件下，一些影响人口分布的关键因素正面临着从量变到质变的转化。其中，自然条件对“胡焕庸线”突破的可能性影响不大，而经济技术条件加速变化和社会政策的战略要求可能会改变“胡焕庸线”的固有格局。在这一进程中，新型城镇化既是实现“胡焕庸线”突破的目标，即实现人口分布在空间上相对均衡、产业在区域间发展均衡、公共服务城乡均等化，同时新型城镇化也是“胡焕庸线”可能突破的重要动力。以新疆为例的分析,佐证了西部地区通过新型城镇化突破“胡焕庸线”的可能性。为此，有关方面应积极搭建人口流动通道，逐步实现人口分布在空间上的均衡；应加大产业发展力度，逐步实现产业在区域上的均衡；应推进公共服务一体化，逐 实现区域宜居水平的平衡。
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| 关 键 词： | 新型城镇化 &ldquo 胡焕庸线&rdquo 人口分布 产业结构调整 城乡一体化 |
The New Urbanization and the Possibility of a Breakthrough in the “Hu Line” |
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| ZHANG Yong-yue &,SONG Yan-jiao &,ZHANG Chuan-yong.The New Urbanization and the Possibility of a Breakthrough in the “Hu Line”[J].Journal of East China Normal University :Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition,2015,47(2):101-112. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Yong-yue & SONG Yan-jiao & ZHANG Chuan-yong |
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| Abstract: | It has been 80 years since the “Hu Line” was put forward in 1935, while the pattern of uneven distribution of population in China hasn’t changed much. However, some key factors affecting population distribution are facing from quantitative to qualitative transformation in new historical conditions. Different from natural conditions, accelerated economic and technical conditions and the strategy requirement from social policies may change the pattern of the “Hu Line”. In this process, the new urbanization is the goal of breaking through the “Hu Line”, namely, relative equilibrium of population distribution in space, balanced development of regional industry and the equalization of urban-rural public services. At the same time, the new urbanization may give an important impetus to the breakthrough of “Hu Line”. The example of Xinjiang Province provides an evidence of the possibility of breaking through the “Hu Line” in the western regions. Therefore, relevant departments should actively build population flow channels to gradually realize the space equilibrium of population distribution, strengthen industrial development to achieve the region balance of industry and promote the integration of public services to realize the region equilibrium of livable conditions. |
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