| 融合科学计量和知识可视化方法的技术预见模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 葛慧丽,潘杏梅,吕琼芳.融合科学计量和知识可视化方法的技术预见模型研究[J].现代情报,2014,34(6):56-60. |
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| 作者姓名： | 葛慧丽 潘杏梅 吕琼芳 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江省科技信息研究院, 浙江 杭州310006 |
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| 基金项目： | 浙江省科技厅软科学计划项目“海洋清洁能源和海水淡化领域技术预见与对策分析”（项目编号：2012C35052）. |
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| 摘 要： | 基于德尔菲法的技术预见活动方法体系在主观性方面存在较多争议，改善技术预见方法成为各国技术预见活动中普遍关注的问题。文章在分析已开展的技术预见主要方法和问题、科学计量和知识可视化方法在技术预见中的作用基础上，提出了区域产业科技创新规划和企业技术创新中的技术预见模型建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 科学计量 文献计量 知识可视化 技术预见 产业规划 企业技术创新 |
Model Study of Technology Foresight Based on Bibliometric Analysis and Knowledge Visualization Method |
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| Authors: | Ge Huili Pan Xingmei Lyu Qiongfang |
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| Institution: | Institute of Science and Technology Information Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou 31006, China |
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| Abstract: | The technology foresight based Delphi method has more controversial in the subjective aspects, improverment of the method of technology foresight has been a common concern problems in the world. The article has been carried out in the anal-ysis of the main methods and problems of technology foresight, and the role of technology foresight based on bibliometric analysis and knowledge visualization method. Try to construct the the technology foresight mode base on bibliometrics and knowledge visualization method,in order to improve the quality of technology foresight analysis, so as to improve the supporting role cf regional science and technology planning and enterprise technology innovation. |
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| Keywords: | scientometrice bibliometrics visualization technology foresight industrial planning technology innovation |
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