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华南沿海台站热带气旋风力预报
引用本文:杨平章,郭英琼,李丹.华南沿海台站热带气旋风力预报[J].中山大学学报论丛,1994(5).
作者姓名:杨平章  郭英琼  李丹
作者单位:中山大学大气科学系
摘    要:本文采用跟随热带气旋移动的极坐标对华南沿海台站在热带气旋影响下的风力作合成分析.以此为基础提出预报方法。用1988年的影响华南的8个热带气旋作风力预报检验,共419站次24h风力预报的绝对平均误差为2.04m/s。

关 键 词:热带气旋  合成分析  风力预报

The Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Forecast for the Meteorological Station in Shore of the South China Sea
Yang Pingzhang, Guo Yingqing, Li Dan.The Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Forecast for the Meteorological Station in Shore of the South China Sea[J].Supplement to the Journal of Sun Yatsen University,1994(5).
Authors:Yang Pingzhang  Guo Yingqing  Li Dan
Abstract:Using polar coordinate that follows tropical cyclone moving, composite wind field under tropical cyclone affect for the meteorological station in shore of the South China Sea is made, on the basis of this a method of forecast wind speed is presented in this paper. There are 419 records of wind speed caused by 8 tropical cyclones in shore of the South China Sea in 1988, comparing the 419 records and the corresponding forecast value, the mean absolute error is 2.04 m/s.
Keywords:tropical cyclone  composite analysis  wind speed forecast
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