| 我国高等教育需求预测与高等教育规模的确定 |
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| 引用本文： | 俞培果,杨晓芳,沈云,廖斌.我国高等教育需求预测与高等教育规模的确定[J].预测,2002,21(3):9-12,17. |
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| 作者姓名： | 俞培果 杨晓芳 沈云 廖斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南科技大学，四川 绵阳 621002 |
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| 摘 要： | 文中提出考虑了经济发展水平、人口及当前科技文化背景的高等教育需求模型的建模方法，并用以对我国近年来高等教育的状况以及未来10年的发展进行了分析和预测，结果表明，我国政府作出了扩大高等教育规模的决策是正确的。
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| 关 键 词： | 高等教育 需求预测 高等教育规模 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-5192(2002)03-0009-04 |
The Higher Education Demand Forecasting and Scale Confirming of Our Country |
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| YU Pei-guo,YNNG Xiao-fang,SHEN Yun,LIAO Bin.The Higher Education Demand Forecasting and Scale Confirming of Our Country[J].Forecasting,2002,21(3):9-12,17. |
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| Authors: | YU Pei-guo YNNG Xiao-fang SHEN Yun LIAO Bin |
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| Abstract: | The paper provides a modeling method of higher education demand that has taken into account of the economy developing level, population, science and technology and culture background. With the method we discussed and forecasted the recent situation and future development of our country's higher education. The results indicate our government's decision to enlarge the higher education scale is correct. |
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| Keywords: | higher education demand forecast higher education scale |
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