| 中国对“一带一路”沿线国家体育用品出口的影响因素及贸易潜力——基于扩展的贸易引力模型检验 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 季雯婷,任文龙.中国对“一带一路”沿线国家体育用品出口的影响因素及贸易潜力——基于扩展的贸易引力模型检验[J].上海体育学院学报,2020(4):70-77. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 季雯婷 任文龙 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 南京大学商学院 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家统计局重大统计专项(2018ZX11)。 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用扩展的贸易引力模型,选取2008—2017年的跨国面板数据,探讨中国对“一带一路”沿线国家体育用品出口的影响因素。在此基础上测算2017年中国对“一带一路”沿线各国体育用品的理论出口额,通过实际出口额与理论出口额之比,对48个样本国家的体育用品贸易潜力进行分类。结果显示:双边国家经济总量较大、“一带一路”沿线各国的政治稳定性和非暴乱指数得分高、开放程度高、加入WTO等对体育用品的出口具有正向作用;而两国之间的距离对体育用品的出口具有阻碍作用。在48个样本国家中:19个国家属于潜力巨大型,中国对其的体育用品出口还远不能满足其需求,具有很大的市场空间;11个国家属于潜力开拓型,中国对其的体育用品贸易潜力还可进一步挖掘,以扩大出口市场;18个国家属于潜力再造型,中国对其的体育用品贸易潜力有限。提出:应继续强化正向贸易因素,消除贸易壁垒,以高质量的体育用品出口培育体育用品外贸增长新动能。
|
| 关 键 词： | “一带一路”沿线国家 体育用品出口 贸易潜力 贸易引力模型 贸易壁垒 经济总量 |
Influencing Factors and Development Potentials of Sports Goods Export Between China and the Countries along"the Belt and Road":A Test Based on the Extended Trade Gravity Model |
| |
| JI Wenting,REN Wenlong.Influencing Factors and Development Potentials of Sports Goods Export Between China and the Countries along"the Belt and Road":A Test Based on the Extended Trade Gravity Model[J].Journal of Shanghai Physical Education Institute,2020(4):70-77. |
| |
| Authors: | JI Wenting REN Wenlong |
| |
| Institution: | (Business School,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,Jiangsu,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | The extended trade gravity model is used and the multinational panel data from 2008 to 2017 are selected to explore the influencing factors of China's export of sporting goods along"the Belt and Road"countries."The Belt and Road"country’s theoretical export value of sporting goods in 2017 is measured.Through the ratio of the actual export value to the theoretical export value,the export potential of sporting goods in 48 countries is classified.The results show that:the GDP of bilateral countries,the scores of political stability and absence of violence/terrorism of the exporting countries,the degree of openness of the exporting countries,and whether or not they join the WTO,have the positive effects on the export of sporting goods.The distance between the two countries hindered on the export of sporting goods.Among the 48 sample countries in the study,19 countries have great potential,and China's export to them is far from enough to meet the demand,leaving a large market space.11 countries are potential pioneers,and China's sports goods trade with them can be further explored to expand export markets;18 countries are potential re-models,with limited trade potential from China.It is believed that it is necessary to continue to strengthen the positive trade factors,eliminate trade barriers,and cultivate new energy for the growth of sports goods foreign trade with high-quality sports goods. |
| |
| Keywords: | countries along"the Belt and Road" sports goods export trade potential trade gravity model trade barrier GDP |
| 本文献已被 维普 等数据库收录！ |
|
