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2000-2010年新疆电力结构变化特征及优化研究
作者姓名:温可  雷军  张利  王建锋
作者单位:1. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所, 乌鲁木齐 830011; 2. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049
基金项目:新疆维吾尔自治区科技支疆项目(201291176)资助
摘    要:通过对新疆2000-2010年电力能源结构区位熵和偏离份额的分析,揭示新疆电力结构近11年变化特征和存在问题,并提出相应的政策建议. 研究发现: 2000-2010年间新疆火力、水力及新能源发电区位熵都呈"V"字型发展,以新能源发电最为突出,专业化优势逐渐显现. 新能源发电处于西部一极的中心位置,在全国具有很高的专业化程度. 新疆以火力为主的电力结构竞争力较强,电力结构的优化和发电总量的增加存在着矛盾.

关 键 词:电力结构  区位熵  偏离-份额分析  新能源发电  新疆  
收稿时间:2012-06-21
修稿时间:2012-09-24

Characteristics of power structure change from 2000 to 2010 and optimization research in Xinjiang
Authors:WEN Ke  LEI Jun  ZHANG Li  WANG Jan-Feng
Institution:1. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China; 2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
Abstract:Based on position quotient and shift-share analysis of the electric energy structure data during the period from 2000 to 2010 in Xinjiang, this paper shows the characteristics of the power structure and the problems during the 11 years and suggest corresponding measures. Results show that the growing trend of all kinds of power looks like a "V" word during the period from 2000 to 2010 in Xinjiang and that the new power which is showing its professional advantages becomes stronger. New power is in the core position across the western region and has a high degree of specialization in China. The structure of coal-fired power is more competitive in China and there is contradiction between the power competitiveness and the increase in the total amount.
Keywords:power structure                                                                                                                        position quotient                                                                                                                        shift-share analysis                                                                                                                        new energy                                                                                                                        Xinjiang
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