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乐透型彩票购买者心态的定量研究——兼论我国彩票的可投资性
引用本文:李刚.乐透型彩票购买者心态的定量研究——兼论我国彩票的可投资性[J].体育科学,2007,27(9):40-48.
作者姓名:李刚
作者单位:上海师范大学,金融学院,上海,200234
基金项目:上海高校选拔培养优秀青年教师科研专业基金
摘    要:通过对8种乐透型体育和福利彩票的相关数据分析发现,我国乐透型彩票购买者普遍存在着"控制幻觉"的非理性心态,表现为热号码现象、赌徒谬误、热手效应和随机偏差等群体性特征。这一心态长期而又稳定地存在,并且在不同地区以及体彩和福彩之间有一定程度上的差异;我国各种彩票不具备可投资性;中外彩票购买者心态有许多共同之处,而不同的文化背景又导致了一些差异;制订合理的彩票发行目标,引导人们理性购买彩票,是十分迫切和必要的。

关 键 词:乐透型彩票  体育彩票  心态  控制幻觉  可投资性
文章编号:1000-677X(2007)09-0040-09
修稿时间:2007-05-28

Research on Attitude of the Sports Lotto Buyers——The Feasibility of Lotto Investment in China
LI Gang.Research on Attitude of the Sports Lotto Buyers——The Feasibility of Lotto Investment in China[J].China Sport Science,2007,27(9):40-48.
Authors:LI Gang
Institution:Finance College;Shanghai Normal University;Shanghai 200234;China.
Abstract:This paper analyzes the relative datum of eight sports and welfare lotto and draws such conclusion.There exists universally illusion of control,an irrational psychology among lot- to players,which appears as the phenomenon of hot numbers,the gambler's fallacy and the random bias.This attitude exits long and steady and there are some differences in degree a- mong areas or between sports and welfare lottery.Lottery in China cannot be an investment. There are many similar aspects in attitude of the lotto plays between China and aboard,but in- tercultural background also leads to some differences.It is urgent and important to set up the correct purpose of issuing the lottery and to lead people buy lottery more rational.
Keywords:lotto  sports lottery  attitude  illusion of control  investment
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