| 基于LMDI指数分解的中国石油消费影响因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王双英,李东,王群伟.基于LMDI指数分解的中国石油消费影响因素分析[J].资源科学,2011,33(4):759-765. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王双英 李东 王群伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,南京,210016 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家经济动员办公室课题(编号：G071203)；南京航空航天大学科研创新群体基金(编号：Y0846-091)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 石油消费是能源消费的重要组成部分。为全面分析我国石油消费量变化情况及其影响因素,本文利用LMDI指数分解法将影响石油消费增长的因素分解为化石能耗结构效应、非清洁能耗效应、能源强度效应和经济规模效应四个部分。分解结果表明,经济规模效应是造成我国石油消费增长的主要原因;除个别年份或省区外,我国能源强度逐年降低,清洁能源消费比例稳步增长,能源结构逐步改善,我国石油供需矛盾趋于缓和。
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| 关 键 词： | 石油消费 能源结构效应 能源强度效益 经济规模效应 LMDI指数 中国 |
Analysis of Factors Affecting China's Oil Consumption Based on LMDI |
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| WANG Shuangying,LI Dong and WANG Qunwei.Analysis of Factors Affecting China's Oil Consumption Based on LMDI[J].Resources Science,2011,33(4):759-765. |
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| Authors: | WANG Shuangying LI Dong and WANG Qunwei |
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| Institution: | College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China;College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China;College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China |
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| Abstract: | Change in oil consumption is critical to energy security. To analyze the factors affecting the change in oil consumption, the Logaruthmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) was used in this study. For a comprehensive analysis of oil consumption in each province, the LMDI index decomposition was applied to analyze the internal structure of the change in oil consumption. By the LMDI index, the change in oil consumption was decomposed to the oil consumption ratio effect, fossil energy effect, energy intensity effect, a... |
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| Keywords: | Oil consumption Fossil energy effects Energy intensity effects Economic total effects LMDI index decomposition |
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