| 滇越边境贸易与经济增长的实证分析——以云南省红河州为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 张必清,杨荣海.滇越边境贸易与经济增长的实证分析——以云南省红河州为例[J].昆明师范高等专科学校学报,2012(2):63-67. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张必清 杨荣海 |
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| 作者单位： | 昆明学院经济学院,云南昆明650214 |
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| 基金项目： | 云南省哲学社会科学研究基地重点课题（JD2011ZD25） |
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| 摘 要： | 云南边境线长达4060km，在实施“桥头堡”战略下，云南边境贸易具有得天独厚的地缘优势与发展契机。根据云南红河州1992—2011年的GDP与边贸总额，运用协整分析方法、误差修正模型和Granger因果关系检验等计量方法进行相关分析，结果表明：云南红河州经济增长与对越边境贸易存在长期稳定的协整关系，边境贸易变化是经济增长的Granger原因。
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| 关 键 词： | 滇越边境贸易 边贸总额 经济增长 协整分析 Granger因果检验 |
Yunnan and Vietnam Border Trade and Economic Growth -- A Case Study of Honghe Prefecture |
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| ZHANG Bi-qing,YANG Rong-hai.Yunnan and Vietnam Border Trade and Economic Growth -- A Case Study of Honghe Prefecture[J].Journal of Kunming Teachers College,2012(2):63-67. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Bi-qing YANG Rong-hai |
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| Institution: | ( School of Economics, Kunming University, Yunnan kunming 650214, China) |
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| Abstract: | With the border of 4060 km, Yunnan has a unique geographical advantage and opportunity for the development in the implementation of the strategy of ＂ bridgehead＂. In order to further investigate the relationship between the border trade and economic growth, some methods and data are applied, such as GDP and total amount of border trade from 1992 to 2011 GDP in Honghe Prefecture, cointegration analysis, error correction model and Granger causality test and measurement. It is concluded that there is long - term stability and cointegration between the economic growth in Honghe Prefecture and the border trade with Vietnam and the changes of border trade are the Granger cause of the economic growth. |
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| Keywords: | Yunnan and Vietnam border trade total amount of border trade economic growth cointegration analysis Granger causality test |
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