| 甘肃省城市化与第三产业互动发展的动态研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 吉亚辉,祝凤文.甘肃省城市化与第三产业互动发展的动态研究[J].成都师专学报,2010(5):97-102. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吉亚辉 祝凤文 |
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| 作者单位： | 西北师范大学经济管理学院,甘肃兰州730070 |
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| 基金项目： | 基金项目：2009年甘肃省社科规划项目资助. |
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| 摘 要： | 文章利用单位根平稳性检验和协整检验的理论，通过对甘肃省1990--2008年时序数据的协整分析、脉冲响应和方差分解，建立了二者之间的误差修正模型，揭示了甘肃省城市化与第三产业的动态均衡关系。结果表明：甘肃省城市化与人均第三产业增加值间存在长期的均衡关系。短期城市化水平的变化引起人均第三产业增加值相同方向的变化，长期人均第三产业增加值对城市化的正向作用要强于城市化对人均第三产业增加值的反向作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市化 第三产业 互动发展 脉冲响应 |
Dynamic Study on the Interactive Development between Urbanization and Tertiary Industry in Gansu Province |
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| JI Ya-hui,ZHU Feng-wen.Dynamic Study on the Interactive Development between Urbanization and Tertiary Industry in Gansu Province[J].Journal of Chengdu Teachers College,2010(5):97-102. |
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| Authors: | JI Ya-hui ZHU Feng-wen |
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| Institution: | ( School of Economics and Management, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730070, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the theory of Unit Root Test and Co-integration Test, this paper analyzes the time serial data in Gansu from 1990 to 2008 through co-integration test, impulse response function and variance decomposition, and sets up the error correction model between urbanization and tertiary industry to reveal the dynamic equilibrium relationship. The results show that the long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship exists between the level of urbanization and the value-added of the tertiary industry per capita. The short-term changes of urbanization level are in the same direction with the per capita added ; the long-term added value per capita has greater posi- tive impact on urbanization level than the vice versa. |
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| Keywords: | urbanization tertiary industry interactive development impulse response |
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