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我国货币供应量及其对经济增长影响的研究
引用本文:吴娜,栾贵勤.我国货币供应量及其对经济增长影响的研究[J].科技与管理,2014(4):14-17.
作者姓名:吴娜  栾贵勤
作者单位:上海理工大学管理学院;
摘    要:货币供应量与经济增长之间的关系一直以来都是经济学家与政策制定者十分关注的问题。在已有的国内外研究成果的基础之上,吸收和借鉴有效的研究方法,深入研究我国货币供应量对经济增长的影响。选取我国2001—2012年的相关季度的货币供应量和国内生产总值为样本数据,首先介绍了我国货币供给的基本情况,其次运用Eviews7.2软件对样本数据进行ADF检验、协整关系检验、Granger因果检验、脉冲响应函数分析,以研究货币供应量对经济增长的影响。研究结果指出:我国货币供应量规模增长迅速的主要原因在于基础货币供应量;我国目前货币化程度较高,存在货币超发现象;此外,货币供应量是经济增长的Granger原因,适度的货币供应量有利于经济增长。

关 键 词:货币供应量  经济增长  实证分析

Research on money supply and its impact on economic growth in China
WU Na,LUAN Gui-qin.Research on money supply and its impact on economic growth in China[J].Science-Technology and Management,2014(4):14-17.
Authors:WU Na  LUAN Gui-qin
Institution:(Business School,University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China)
Abstract:The relationship between money supply and economic growth has been concerned a lot by economists and policy makers. Based on the existing research results, the paper uses the data of money supply and GDP from 2001 to 2012 to study the influence of money supply on economic growth. Through some tests, it can be concluded that China' s rapid growth of money supply is mainly due to the base money supply. The research shows that in current China~ monetization degree is high and there is the phenomenon of currency over. It also indicts that moderate money supply is conducive to economic growth because money supply is the Granger Cause of economic growth.
Keywords:money supply  economic growth  empirical analysis
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