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判别函数分析方法在评价网球比赛制胜因素中的应用研究
引用本文:施兰平,白刚,郭仲恺,孙卫星.判别函数分析方法在评价网球比赛制胜因素中的应用研究[J].浙江体育科学,2011,33(5).
作者姓名:施兰平  白刚  郭仲恺  孙卫星
作者单位:1. 浙江工商大学体育工作部,浙江杭州,310018
2. 北京体育大学,北京,100084
摘    要:文章以84场男子网球比赛为研究对象,通过数理统计中的判别分析方法,筛选出网球比赛制胜的关键因子,为教练、运动员提供更有效的竞赛指导和训练状态诊断。研究结论显示:在男子网球比赛中一发成功率、一发得分率、二发得分率、接发球得分率为比赛获胜的关键制胜因子。

关 键 词:网球  比赛  制胜因素  判别函数

Research on Key Factors of Winning the Tennis Game by Discriminant Analysis
SHI Lan-ping,BAI Gang,GUO Zhong-qi,SUN Wei-xing.Research on Key Factors of Winning the Tennis Game by Discriminant Analysis[J].Zhejiang Sport Science,2011,33(5).
Authors:SHI Lan-ping  BAI Gang  GUO Zhong-qi  SUN Wei-xing
Institution:SHI Lan-ping1,BAI Gang1,GUO Zhong-qi1,SUN Wei-xing2(1.Sport Working Department,Zhejiang Gong Shang University,Hangzhou 310018,China,2.Beijing Sport University,Beijing 310018,China)
Abstract:The aim of this study is 84 ATP games,through using the method of discriminant analysis.This paper can select indexes which has big influence on wining and losing of tennis match from common technical statistics of tennis match.Player and coach can get a lot of help from this method.The result shows first serving percentage,first serve winning percentage,second serve winning percentage,receiving points won are key factors to win the game and the accuracy of its judgment as high as 94%.
Keywords:tennis  contest  key of winning factors  discriminant analysis
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