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论中韩FTA的可行性及其经济效应
引用本文:魏巍.论中韩FTA的可行性及其经济效应[J].预测,2010,29(1):76-80.
作者姓名:魏巍
作者单位:南开大学,经济学院,天津,300071
摘    要:随着世界经济区域化和双边贸易的日益加深,中韩两国政府也表现出组建自由贸易区(FTA)的意愿。中韩FTA是否能够实现以及如何实现已成为当前各界普遍关注的焦点。本文首先从静态效应和动态效应两个角度研究中韩FTA的建立对两国经济的预期影响,指出中韩FTA将对两国GDP、经济福利、贸易条件和进出口总量产生积极的影响,然后在全面分析两国FTA推进过程中所面临的阻碍因素的基础上,提出促进中韩FTA早日实现的战略步骤及中国应采取的战略措施。

关 键 词:中韩FTA  可行性  经济效应  阻碍因素  战略选择

Feasibility and Economic Effects of A China-Korea FTA
WEI Wei.Feasibility and Economic Effects of A China-Korea FTA[J].Forecasting,2010,29(1):76-80.
Authors:WEI Wei
Abstract:With the deepening of regional integration and bilateral trade,China and South Korea showed willingness of forming free trade area (FTA).At present,whether China-South Korea FTA can be formed and how to be formed has become the focus of concern at all levels.Firstly,this paper forecasted the economic effects of China-Korea FTA on both countries from static and dynamic angles respectively,and got the conclusion that China-Korea FTA would bring about positive effects for GDP,economic welfare,terms of trade and trade volume.And then,by analyzing the barriers and problems existed during the process of forming China-Korea FTA,the paper put forward some strategic steps and measures to realize China-Korea FTA as quickly as possible.
Keywords:China-Korea FTA  feasibility  economic effects  barriers  strategic choices
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