| 山东省人口结构、投资与经济发展的空间相关性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王晓飞,逯进.山东省人口结构、投资与经济发展的空间相关性分析[J].科学与管理,2020,40(2):93-103. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王晓飞 逯进 |
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| 作者单位： | 青岛大学经济学院,山东青岛 266071;青岛大学经济学院,山东青岛 266071 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章运用ESDA方法探讨了山东省2003—2016年间各市的人口结构、投资与经济结构的空间分布格局与特征,表明人口结构、投资、经济结构三者具有空间依赖性和异质性,初步得出人口结构与投资对经济结构存在影响的假设,然后构建空间杜宾模型进行验证。研究结果表明:人口结构与投资存在空间溢出性,对本地区和临近地区的经济结构都存在促进作用,两者的交互项利于本地区的经济结构,但会阻碍周围地区的经济发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 人口结构 投资 经济结构 ESDA 空间杜宾模型 |
Spatial Correlation Analysis of Population Structure,Investment and Economic Development:Case Study in Shandong Province |
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| Authors: | WANG Xiaofei LU Jin |
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| Institution: | (School of Economics,Qingdao University,Qingdao 266071,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper uses ESDA method to explore the spatial distribution pattern of population structure,investment and economic structure of cities in Shandong Province from 2003 to 2016,which shows that population structure,investment and economic structure are spatially dependent and heterogeneous.Therefore,it is possible to preliminarily draw the assumption that the population structure and investment have an impact on the economic structure,and then construct a spatial Dubin model for verification.The results show that there is spatial spillover of population structure and investment,which promotes the economic structure of the region and its neighboring regions.The interaction between population structure and investment is beneficial to the economic structure of the region,but it will hinder the economic development of the surrounding regions. |
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| Keywords: | population structure investment economic structure ESDA space Dubin model |
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