| 养老保险基金运营的模型和预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 叶耀华,郑方贤,左畅,杨玉品.养老保险基金运营的模型和预测[J].预测,2001,20(2):65-68. |
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| 作者姓名： | 叶耀华 郑方贤 左畅 杨玉品 |
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| 作者单位： | 复旦大学,统计运筹系,上海,200433 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文综述养老保险基金收入与支出的结构情况，分析其主要影响因素，重点分析人口的年龄结构变化。并基于这些主要因素建立基金余额的数学模型。利用该模型。可以对基金的运营情况进行预测，对基金运营的参数进行敏感性分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 养老保险 数学模型 预测 基金运营 基金收入 基金支出 人口模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-5192(2001)02-0065-04 |
The Modeling and Forecasting of Endowment Insurance Fund |
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| YE Yao-hua,ZHENG Feng-xian,ZUO Chang,YANG Yu-ping.The Modeling and Forecasting of Endowment Insurance Fund[J].Forecasting,2001,20(2):65-68. |
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| Authors: | YE Yao-hua ZHENG Feng-xian ZUO Chang YANG Yu-ping |
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| Abstract: | This paper summarizes the current situation of the income and expenditure of the endowment insurance fund. It also analyzes some main factors involved in it,mainly focus on the changing of population's age structure. Based on these factors,we set up mathematical models,which can predict the condition of the fund,and can help to make decision of operating funds. |
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| Keywords: | endowment insurance fund mathematical models forecasting |
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