| 从混沌动力学角度看运动选材学预测理论和方法的局限性 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡耿丹.从混沌动力学角度看运动选材学预测理论和方法的局限性[J].广州体育学院学报,2001,21(3):23-26. |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡耿丹 |
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| 作者单位： | 广州体育学院运动人体科学系, |
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| 摘 要： | 论述了确定性预测思想和方法的基本特征，用混沌理论探讨了确定性预测理论的方法学缺陷和局限性，初步揭示了运动选材学及现行预测学预测理论和方法的局限性，还为如何克服这种局限性指明了方向。
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 混沌 内随机性 运动选材 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-323X(2001)03-0023-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年6月28日 |
Analyzing the Limitations of the Forecast Theory and Method of Athletic Selection from the Viewpoint of Chaos Dynamics |
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| HU Geng_dan.Analyzing the Limitations of the Forecast Theory and Method of Athletic Selection from the Viewpoint of Chaos Dynamics[J].Journal of Guangzhou Physical Education Institute,2001,21(3):23-26. |
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| Authors: | HU Geng_dan |
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| Abstract: | This article has expounded the basic features of the forecast thought and method of things' definite property,and has discussed,by chaotic theory,on the methodological defects and limitations in the forecast theory of things' definite property.It also revealed that the limitations of the forecast theory and method for current forecast science and athletic selection,and pointed out the orientation in how to overcome the limitations. |
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| Keywords: | forecast chaos inherent random property of things athletic selection |
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