| 基于粗糙集对个案男子1万m跑成绩的分析与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 牛力军,张广林,柴宗乾.基于粗糙集对个案男子1万m跑成绩的分析与预测[J].首都体育学院学报,2010,22(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 牛力军 张广林 柴宗乾 |
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| 作者单位： | 西北师范大学体育学院,甘肃,兰州,730070 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用文献资料、专家访谈和粗糙集权重确定等方法,对1999-2005年甘肃省体工队中长跑队员训练和比赛中的最好成绩进行粗糙集权重分析,结果表明:影响10000 m成绩的关键指标是公路10 km和周弓箭步总量;并且从属性决策中得出了5条确定性预测规则.目的在于教练员依据运动员的成绩发展水平提供一个科学训练的方法和手段,为教练员最优控制训练过程提供有效参考.
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| 关 键 词： | 粗糙集 1万m跑 成绩 预测 |
Case Analysis and Prediction on Man's 10000 m Performance Based on Rough Set Theory |
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| NIU Lijun,ZHANG Guanglin,CHAI Zongqian.Case Analysis and Prediction on Man's 10000 m Performance Based on Rough Set Theory[J].Journal of Capital College of Physical Education,2010,22(4). |
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| Authors: | NIU Lijun ZHANG Guanglin CHAI Zongqian |
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| Institution: | NIU Lijun,ZHANG Guanglin,CHAI Zongqian College of Physical Education,Northwest Normal University,Lanzhou 730070,China. |
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| Abstract: | Through using the method of literature review,expert interviews and rough and weight determined methods,this paper made rough weight re-analysis on long and middle distance runner's best performance in training and competition in sports team in Gansu province from 1999 to 2005.The result showed that the critical indicators influencing 10 000 m performance were road 10 km and total week lunge.The decision-making derived from the property five deterministic prediction rules.The main purpose was to make the sc... |
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| Keywords: | rough set theory 10 000 m performance forecasting |
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