| 集装化危险品物流作业风险因素识别与评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 何景师,张智勇.集装化危险品物流作业风险因素识别与评价[J].上海海事大学学报,2020,41(4):62-69. |
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| 作者姓名： | 何景师 张智勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 东莞职业技术学院物流工程系,广东东莞523808;华南理工大学经济与贸易学院,广州510006 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省基础与应用基础研究基金联合基金（2019A1515110909）；广东省教育厅普通高校青年创新人才类项目(2018GWQNCX001)；广东省教育科学十三五规划课题（2020GXJK218）；东莞职业技术学院科研与服务创新团队项目（CXTD201803） |
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| 摘 要： | 为识别与评价集装化危险品物流作业的风险因素，通过鱼骨图分析法构建风险因素评价指标体系。以风险发生的概率和后果为决策变量建立基于熵权 层次分析法（analytic hierarchy process, AHP）约束的数据包络分析(data envelopment analysis, DEA)法的风险评价模型。利用熵权 AHP解决传统DEA法的权重无限性问题，利用DEA法求解风险极大、极小值并对风险因素进行评价与排序。研究发现，人员风险、包装风险达到风险极大值，集装箱风险达到风险极小值。研究得到各风险因素决策单元的风险降低比例，并根据风险因素的特点提出集装化危险品物流作业风险管理的建议。结果表明了该评价模型的适用性和评价方法的科学性。
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| 关 键 词： | 危险品物流 集装化危险品 物流作业风险 数据包络分析(DEA) 熵权 层次分析法(AHP) |
| 收稿时间： | 2020/3/8 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2020/7/27 0:00:00 |
Risk factor identification and evaluation of containerized dangerous goods logistics operation |
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| Hejingshi and ZHANGZhiyong.Risk factor identification and evaluation of containerized dangerous goods logistics operation[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,2020,41(4):62-69. |
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| Authors: | Hejingshi and ZHANGZhiyong |
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| Institution: | Dongguan Polytechnic Department of Logistics Engineering and South China University of Technology |
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| Abstract: | To identify and evaluate the risk factors of containerized dangerous goods logistics operation, the evaluation index system of risk factors is constructed by the fishbone diagram analysis method. Taking the probability and consequence of risk occurrence as decision variables, the risk evaluation model based on the data envelopment analysis (DEA) method is established, where DEA method is constrained by the entropy weight and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The entropy weight and AHP are used to solve the weight infinity problem of the traditional DEA method. DEA method is used to obtain the maximum and minimum values of risk, and the risk factors are evaluated and ranked. It is found that the risk of personnel and the risk of packaging are of the maximum, the risk of containers is of the minimum, and the risk reduction proportion of the decision making unit of each risk factor is pointed out. According to the characteristics of risk factors, some suggestions are put forward on risk management of containerized dangerous goods logistics operation. The result shows that the evaluation model is applicable and the evaluation method is scientific. |
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| Keywords: | dangerous goods logistics containerized dangerous goods logistics operation risk data envelopment analysis (DEA) entropy weight analytic hierarchy process (AHP) |
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