| 基于灰色模型的上海港集装箱吞吐量预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 杨金花,杨艺.基于灰色模型的上海港集装箱吞吐量预测[J].上海海事大学学报,2014,35(2):28-32. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 杨金花 杨艺 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 上海海事大学 交通运输学院,上海海事大学 交通运输学院 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 高等学校“专业综合改革试点” 项目（081201） |
| |
| 摘 要： | 运用灰色预测法预测上海港未来3年的集装箱吞吐量.根据上海港集装箱码头的具体情况计算其通过能力,再通过产能利用率指标判断上海港集装箱码头是否面临产能过剩的问题.结果表明,上海港集装箱码头不存在产能过剩问题.最后提出在现有码头设施条件下提高产能的建议.
|
| 关 键 词： | 集装箱吞吐量 灰色模型（GM） 产能利用率 产能过剩 上海港 |
| 收稿时间： | 6/8/2013 12:00:00 AM |
| 修稿时间： | 2013/10/25 0:00:00 |
Container throughput forecast of Shanghai Port based on Grey Model |
| |
| Institution: | shanghai Maritime university |
| |
| Abstract: | A grey forecast method is used to predict the container throughput of
Shanghai Port in the next 3 years. The handling capacity of Shanghai
container terminals is calculated according to their specific conditions.
Whether there exists the overcapacity problem in Shanghai container
terminals can be judged by the capacity utilization rate index. The
results show that there exists no overcapacity problem in Shanghai
container terminals. Finally, some suggestions for increasing the handling
capacity are put forward under the existing facilities of terminals. |
| |
| Keywords: | container throughput Gray Model (GM) capacity utilization rate overcapacity Shanghai Port |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《上海海事大学学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《上海海事大学学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
