| 基于景气预警分析方法的城市产业体系战略环境评价——以大连市为例 |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐 凌 尚金城 |
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| 作者单位： | 1．中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所，吉林，长春 130012；
2．东北师范大学环境科学研究所，吉林，长春 130024；
3．中国科学院研究生院，北京 100039 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对目前战略环境评价技术方法的不完善，采用宏观经济预警基本原理及景气分析方法，结合大连市城市产业体系环境经济运行特征，建立了大连市城市产业体系环境经济景气指数系统，对城市产业体系发展的战略环境评价进行了探讨，结果表明大连市城市产业体系环境经济系统运行状况良好，但同时也要警惕个别指标的大起大落，所以有必要在发展规划的决策中对其环境经济景气调节给予更多关注。
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| 关 键 词： | 景气预警 城市产业体系 战略环境评价（SEA） |
Urban Industry System for Strategic Environmental Assessment based on Booming Analysis of Early Warning------The case for Dalian City |
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| Authors: | XU Ling SHANG Jin-Cheng |
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| Institution: | 1.Northeast Institute of Geography and Agricultural Ecology Chinese Academe of Sciences, Changchun, 130012;
2.The Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, 130024;
3. Graduate School of Chinese Academe of Sciences, Beijing, 100039 |
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| Abstract: | Considering the faultiness of technique of Strategic Environmental Assessment, a method, Booming Analysis of Early Warning, is introduced into Strategic Environmental Assessment for urban industry system. The environmental and economic actuality of the urban industry system in Dalian is analyzed in this paper. Based upon the rationales and methods of macroeconomics and booming analysis, and considering the running character of the environment and economy of the urban industry system in Dalian, the booming index system of the environment and economy of the urban industry system in Dalian is constructed. After analyzing appraisal results, boom of the environment and economy of the urban industry system in Dalian is discussed. It is concluded that running status of environment and economy system of urban industry system is well in Dalian. However, several indices are on guard. Therefore, booming adjustment of environment and economy on the decision-making must be paid attention, too. |
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| Keywords: | booming analysis of early warning urban industry system strategic environmental assessment（SEA） Dalian |
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