| 新疆县域城镇化时空格局演变特征及影响因素 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李建刚 雷军 段祖亮 杨振 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所, 乌鲁木齐 830011;
2. 中国科学院大学资源与环境学院, 北京 100049 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院战略性先导科技专项（XDA20040400）资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 综合运用变异系数、多元回归、地理探测器研究方法，分析2000-2015年新疆县域城镇化时空格局演变特征及影响因素。研究表明：1）新疆县域城镇化率不断提高，年均增加0.89个百分点，其中40.96%的县（市）城镇化水平年均增长幅度介于0~0.5%之间；2）新疆县域城镇化空间分异有较大变化，从2000年以初期城镇化为主的面状分布转向2015年以初期、中期城镇化为主的集中-交错分布；3）经济发展水平、就业结构、公共服务水平、地理区位等对新疆县域城镇化空间分异存在较显著的影响。市场经济发展与就业结构的转变是驱动新疆县域城镇化快速发展的重要因子，以政府为主导自上而下的政策措施对城镇化发展的驱动作用有所减弱，目前城镇化发展主要受到就业能力、收入水平、人口集聚和公共基础服务等多因子交互作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 城镇化 县域 影响因素 地理探测器 新疆 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018-01-31 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018-06-25 |
Temporal and spatial pattern evolution and influencing factors of urbanization at county level in Xinjiang |
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| Authors: | LI Jian'gang LEI Jun DUAN Zuliang YANG Zhen |
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| Institution: | 1. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China;
2. College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China |
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| Abstract: | The temporal and spatial pattern evolution characteristics and the influencing factors of urbanization at county level in Xinjiang since 2000 were analyzed using the methods including variation coefficient, multivariate regression, and geographical detector technique. The main conclusions are given as follows. 1) The urbanization rate in Xinjiang's counties continually increased with an average annual growth rate of 0.89%, and 40.96% of the counties had average annual growth rates of 0-0.5%. 2) There was a great change in the spatial distribution pattern of county urbanization, and that was the change from the planar distribution pattern of the initial urbanization stage in 2000 into the centralized-interlaced distribution pattern of the initial and middle urbanization stages in 2015. 3) The economic development level, employment structure, public service level, and geographical location have significant impacts on the spatial differentiation of urbanization. The development of market economy and the transformation of employment structure were important factors driving the rapid development of urbanization. The driving force for urbanization development from the government-led top-down policies and measures decreased gradually. At the present, urbanization development is mainly affected by multiple factors such as employment ability, income level, population concentration, and public basic services. |
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| Keywords: | urbanization county influencing factor geographical detector technique Xinjiang |
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