| 基于投入产出模型的北京市生产性服务业与制造业互动关系 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王红杰 鲍超 郭嘉颖 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101;2.中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室, 北京 100101;3.中国科学院大学资源与环境学院, 北京 100049;4.中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所, 南京 210008 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金（41590844，41571156）和中国科学院特色研究所培育建设服务项目（TSYJS02）资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用投入产出模型，以北京市为例，分析生产性服务业和制造业互动的一般规律。结果表明：1）北京市2002-2012年制造业对交通运输的中间需求降低，对科研信息服务业的中间需求升高；2）生产性服务业对制造业的中间投入40%以上集中在技术密集型产业，而不同类型的生产性服务业的中间投入各有侧重；3）制造业的前后向关联效应均较强但呈下降趋势，而生产性服务业主要表现为前向效应。为促进生产性服务业和制造业的融合，应继续完善交通运输及仓储业；大力推动科学研究与综合技术服务业、信息传输、计算机服务和软件业，积极推广科研技术生产性服务；持续提高对技术密集型制造业的中间投入。
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| 关 键 词： | 生产性服务业 制造业 产业关联 投入产出模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017-08-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2017-10-10 |
Interactive rules between producer services and manufacturing industries in Beijing based on input-output model |
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| Authors: | WANG Hongjie BAO Chao GUO Jiaying |
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| Institution: | 1.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;2.Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;3.College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;4.Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China |
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| Abstract: | The input-output model was used to analyze the interactive rules between producer services and manufacturing industries in Beijing. Results are showed as follows. 1) The manufacturing industry reduced the intermediate demand for transportation,while increased the intermediate demand for scientific research and information service from 2002 to 2012. 2) More than 40% of intermediate inputs that producer services gave to manufacturing industries concentrated on technology-intensive industries. However, the intermediate inputs of different producer services had their own emphases. 3) The forward and backward association effects of manufacturing industries were both strong but had declining trends. However, the producer services mainly showed forward association effect. In order to promote the integration of producer services and manufacturing industries, transportation and warehousing industry should be improved right along; scientific research and comprehensive technical services, information transmission, computer services, and software industry should be promoted vigorously and used widely; and intermediate input to technology-intensive manufacturing industries should be improved continuously. |
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| Keywords: | producer services manufacturing industries industry relevancy input-output model |
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