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中国体育发展与经济增长的动态计量分析
引用本文:王会宗,张瑞林,王晓芳.中国体育发展与经济增长的动态计量分析[J].体育学刊,2012(3):71-74.
作者姓名:王会宗  张瑞林  王晓芳
作者单位:1. 山东大学 工商管理博士后科研流动站,山东 济南 250100
2. 山东大学 体育学院,山东 济南 250061
3. 昌吉学院 体育系,新疆 昌吉 831100
基金项目:教育部“新世纪优秀人才支持计划”项目(NCET-08-0342);2011年度山东省博士后创新项目(201103060)
摘    要:基于相关的时序数据,运用协整检验、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验等动态计量方法,对中国体育发展与经济增长之间的关系进行实证分析,发现体育发展和经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,两者互为因果、相互促进。大力发展体育事业,尤其是体育产业,将对我国国民经济的持续增长起到重要作用。

关 键 词:体育经济学  体育发展  经济增长  协整检验  误差修正模型  格兰杰因果检验

A dynamic econometric analysis of sport development and economic growth in China
WANG Hui-zong,ZHANG Rui-lin,WANG Xiao-fang.A dynamic econometric analysis of sport development and economic growth in China[J].Journal of Physical Education,2012(3):71-74.
Authors:WANG Hui-zong  ZHANG Rui-lin  WANG Xiao-fang
Institution:1.Business Administration Post-Doctoral Research Center,Shandong University,Jinan 250100,China;2.School of Physical Education,Shandong University,Jinan 250061,China;3.Department of Physical Education,Changji Institute,Changji 831100,China)
Abstract:Based on relevant time sequence data,and by applying such dynamic econometric methods as co-integration test,error correction model and Granger causality test,the authors conducted an empirical analysis on the relationship between sport development and economic growth in China,and found that there is a long term sta-ble equilibrium relationship between sport development and economic growth,which interact as causes and effects and boost each other.Vigorously developing sport undertakings,especially the sport industry,will play an important role in the sustainable growth of national economy in China.
Keywords:sport economics  sport development  economic growth  co-integration test  error correction model  Granger causality test
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