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国民收入、 竞技体育与大众体育协整和因果分析
引用本文:阮敏.国民收入、 竞技体育与大众体育协整和因果分析[J].武汉体育学院学报,2009,43(4):13.
作者姓名:阮敏
作者单位:江西财经大学规制与竞争研究中心,江西南昌,330013
摘    要:运用文献资料法,对国民收入、竞技体育和大众体育之间进行了协整和因果关系分析,认为,竞技体育水平的提升没有导致大众体育水平的提高,对大众体育是负面的影响,否定了提高普及说和相对独立说;国家经济的增强提高了竞技体育的水平,验证了举国体制的有效性,但竞技体育水平的增强没有提高国家经济实力,说明了以竞技体育为核心的体育产业对促进国民经济的发展是很弱的;国家经济实力的提高对大众体育没有明显的影响,同时大众身体素质的提高同样没有表现为提高国家经济实力.

关 键 词:国民收入  竞技体育  大众体育  协整分析  格兰杰因果检验

National income , competitive sports , sports for all : analysis based on co - integration tests and Granger causal ity tests
RUAN Min.National income , competitive sports , sports for all : analysis based on co - integration tests and Granger causal ity tests[J].Journal of Wuhan Institute of Physical Education,2009,43(4):13.
Authors:RUAN Min
Abstract:An analysis based on co - integration test s and granger causality test s was made on national
income , competitive sport s and sport s for all . It was shown t hat t he promotion of competitive sport s
did not help wit h t he promotion of sport s for all . Instead , more negative influences were yielded. The
ideas that competitive sport s could improve sport s for all and competitive sport s were separated f rom
sport s for all were rejected. The national economic promotion raised t he competitive sport s level ,
which showed t hat t he system of st rengt hening sport s t hrough national cent ralization was effective.
Nevert heless , t he promotion of competitive sport s level in turn did not raise t he national economic
st rengt h , which revealed that sport s indust ry cent red around competitive sport s did lit t le to the na2
tional economic development , whose promotion influenced lit t le sport s for all , which in t urn did not
help wit h t he promotion of t he national economic st rength
Keywords:national income  competitive sport s  sport s for all  analysis based on co - integrationtest s  analysis based on Granger causality test s
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