| 人口红利、劳动力成本与体育用品出口贸易竞争力关系的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 钟华梅,王兆红.人口红利、劳动力成本与体育用品出口贸易竞争力关系的实证研究[J].武汉体育学院学报,2018,52(6):50-55. |
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| 作者姓名： | 钟华梅 王兆红 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京师范大学 体育与运动学院, 北京 1000875 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金教育学青年课题（CLA130195）。 |
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| 摘 要： | 人口红利下降和劳动力成本上升使劳动密集型的体育用品制造业发展陷入困境，本研究通过构建多元线性回归模型和岭回归分析，实证研究人口红利和劳动力成本对体育用品出口贸易竞争力的影响，提出体育用品制造业的发展建议。研究结果表明：体育用品出口贸易仍具有极强比较优势；总抚养比上升和制造业劳动力成本上升对体育用品出口贸易竞争力具有非常显著的负向影响，劳动人口总量对体育用品出口贸易竞争力具有负向影响，总体单位劳动力成本对体育用品出口贸易竞争力具有正向影响；制造业劳动力成本对体育用品出口贸易竞争力的降低效应强于总抚养比和劳动人口总量。
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| 关 键 词： | 体育产业 体育用品 人口红利 劳动力成本 出口贸易竞争力 岭回归 |
Relationship between Population Dividend,Labor Cost and Export Trade of Sports Goods Competitiveness |
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| ZHONG Huamei,WANG Zhaohong.Relationship between Population Dividend,Labor Cost and Export Trade of Sports Goods Competitiveness[J].Journal of Wuhan Institute of Physical Education,2018,52(6):50-55. |
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| Authors: | ZHONG Huamei WANG Zhaohong |
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| Institution: | School of P. E. Sprorts, Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing 100875, China |
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| Abstract: | The decline in the demographic dividend and the rise in labor costs bring labor-intensive sports goods manufacturing industry in trouble. This research built a multiple linear regression model and ridge regression to research into the demographic dividend and labor costs influence on sports goods export trade competitiveness. The results showed that the export trade of sports goods still had strong comparative advantage; The rise in total dependency rate and rising labor costs had a significant negative influence on the export trade competitiveness of sports goods, The total working population had negative influence on the export trade competitiveness of sports goods, the total unit labor cost had positive influence on the export trade competitiveness of sports goods; The manufacturing labor costs had stronger lowering effect on the export trade competitiveness of sports goods than total dependency rate and total working population. |
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| Keywords: | sports industry sports goods demographic dividend labor cost export trade competitiveness ridge regression |
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