| 中国体育用品出口贸易效率与潜力研究——基于随机前沿引力模型的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 金礼杰,李柏.中国体育用品出口贸易效率与潜力研究——基于随机前沿引力模型的实证分析[J].武汉体育学院学报,2022,56(5):47-55. |
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| 作者姓名： | 金礼杰 李柏 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学 体育与健康学院,辽宁 大连 116024 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金项目(20BTY082)； |
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| 摘 要： | 基于随机前沿引力模型,结合2010—2020年30个具有代表性的国家(地区)面板数据,运用Frontier4.1软件研究我国体育用品出口贸易效率、潜力及其具体影响因素。研究表明:整体上中国体育用品出口贸易效率和潜力较高,但主要出口市场趋于饱和,增长空间较为有限。中国与伙伴国的经济发展水平、伙伴国的人口规模与中国体育用品出口显著正相关,而中国的人口规模和贸易双方的地理距离与中国体育用品出口显著负相关;中国与伙伴国签署自贸协定、伙伴国较高的海运能力、伙伴国政府较高的廉洁度和支出水平在提升贸易效率方面作用明显,而伙伴国较高的关税水平和金融自由度则限制了贸易效率的提高。建议合理配置贸易资源,优化国际市场布局;商签高标准贸易协定,开拓新兴国际市场;坚持创新驱动战略,培植国际竞争新优势。
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| 关 键 词： | 体育用品 出口贸易 贸易效率 贸易潜力 随机前沿引力模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2021-10-20 |
A Study of Efficiency and Potential of China’s Sporting Goods Export Trade Based on Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model |
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| JIN Lijie,LI Bai.A Study of Efficiency and Potential of China’s Sporting Goods Export Trade Based on Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model[J].Journal of Wuhan Institute of Physical Education,2022,56(5):47-55. |
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| Authors: | JIN Lijie LI Bai |
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| Institution: | School of Kinesiology and Health Promotion, Dalian Univ. of Tech., Dalian 116024, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model and combined with the panel data of 30 representative countries (regions) from 2010 to 2020,this paper empirically studied the potential and efficiency of China’s sporting goods export trade by using Frontier 4.1 software.The results showed that China’s sporting goods export trade efficiency was generally maintained at a high level,with an average of 0.72,but the main export markets tended to be saturated and the growth space was limited.The economic development level and population size of China and its partner countries were positively correlated with China’s sporting goods export,while China’s population size and the geographical distance between trade sides were negatively correlated with China’s sporting goods export.The signing of free trade agreements between China and its partner countries,the high shipping capacity of partner countries,the high integrity and expenditure level of partner governments played a significant role in improving trade efficiency,while the high tariff level and financial freedom of partner countries limited the improvement of trade efficiency.In this paper,suggestions were proposed to allocate trade resources and optimize the layout of the international market,to negotiate and sign high standard trade agreements,to explore emerging international markets,to adhere to the innovation driven strategy and to cultivate new international competitive advantages. |
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| Keywords: | sports goods export trade trade efficiency trade potential Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model |
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