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世界男篮格局和2008年奥运会我国男篮面临的形势
引用本文:崔鲁祥,刘兴鹏,陈贵奇.世界男篮格局和2008年奥运会我国男篮面临的形势[J].沈阳体育学院学报,2007,26(5):70-73.
作者姓名:崔鲁祥  刘兴鹏  陈贵奇
作者单位:1. 沈阳体育学院,运动训练系,辽宁,沈阳,110102
2. 辽宁省大连市旅顺省航海学校,辽宁,大连,116041
摘    要:采用文献资料法、专家访谈法、逻辑分析法统计分析历届世锦赛8强球队洲际分布,并结合本届世锦赛各队表现,认为当今世界男篮发展的格局是欧美两洲球队仍然领先,欧洲球队整体势力上升明显,非洲进步较快,而亚洲依旧提高缓慢。对中国队与各集团球队之间的实力进行分析发现,中国队与第一集团球队相比实力差距较大,取胜希望渺茫,与第二集团球队相比具有一定差距,超长发挥有战胜他们的可能,与第三集团球队相比具有一定优势,但对手实力不可轻视。因此中国男篮要在2008奥运会取得历史性突破,在创造分组优势基础上,要发挥自身优势,力从根本解决世锦赛上暴露的问题。

关 键 词:世界男篮  格局  2008年奥运会
文章编号:1004-0560(2007)05-0070-04
修稿时间:2007年7月26日

Pattern of World Men's Basketball and the Situation Chinese Men's Basketball Team to be Faced with in 2008 Olympic Games
CUI Lu-xiang,LIU Xing-peng,CHEN Gui-qi.Pattern of World Men''''s Basketball and the Situation Chinese Men''''s Basketball Team to be Faced with in 2008 Olympic Games[J].Journal of Shenyang Sport University,2007,26(5):70-73.
Authors:CUI Lu-xiang  LIU Xing-peng  CHEN Gui-qi
Abstract:With the methods of literaturary review,expert interview and mathematical statistics,this thesis analyses the intercontinental distribution of eight master basketball teams in all past World Basketball Championships and combines every teams'display of the 15th World Basketball Championship.It points out that the present situation of world basketball development is that basketball teams in Europe and America are still in the lead,European teams move upward obviously,and African teams develop fast,but Asian teams still develop slowly.By the analysis of the strength between Chinese team and every group team,it finds out that Chinese team's strenth is far away from the first group teams,so it is impossible to win.To contrast with second group teams,there is a disparity between them,but it is possible to win if Chinese team want to bring its force into full play.To contrast with the third group teams,it has a certain superioriority,but the opponent's strength can't be ignored.Therefore,if Chinese team can get the historic breaking in 2008 Olympic Games,it needs to bring self-superior force into full play which is based on the group superiority so that it will try its best to solve the problem thoroughly which was exposed in World Basketball Championships.
Keywords:world men's basketball  pattern  the 2008 Olympic Games
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